Ecuador is located on the equator, and we are more acutely than anyone else feeling terrible phenomena occurring in the nature — hard changes of climate, floods, volcanic eruptions, extinction of some species. If in the nearest future destructive trends continue, nothing will remain for our children and grandchildren.

In the nearest 15 years up to 130 nuclear units could come into operation, from 40 to 80 of which — in Asia, with 15 reactors already under construction. The share of nuclear power in the world energy balance may rise up to 30%.

As the root causes of terrorism as a phenomenon can not be completely eliminated in the short term, the risk of this category gets a very substantial weight in the emerging models of the catastrophe insurance.

The reason for stable continuous movements of the equilibrium real exchange rate can be differences in growth rates of technological changes in commercial and non-trade sectors of the economy.

Opening remarks.

Opening Remarks.

Newton or Faraday were creating new knowledge not to sell them or to get rich. Today it is rather about the economy of innovations. In other words, we do not produce knowledge, but innovations that are sold.

A good model can give a reasonable forecast in the field of its competence, subject to maintaining the existing economic relations, can identify threats to established order, but it does not allow to predict what will replace this order after the crisis.

The name “Strategies” (no “Forecasts”, for example) has deep meaning. In our unstable time it is practically impossible to make long-term predictions. However, we can imagine possible scenarios, choose among them the “desired” one and act in this direction — this is the “strategy”.

The national policy in the field of education, held in Russia, calls for the development and implementation of new methods and forms of education, as well as structural reforms.