Ensuring Sustainability of Territorial Housing Markets in a Turbulent Economy (on the Example of the Penza Region)

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.183.2022.110-121

The article provides a comprehensive structural analysis of ensuring stability for the territorial housing market in a turbulent economy on the example of the Penza region. The study was carried out in the following fields: structure of developers, volumes and dynamics of construction, the price range of new buildings. In addition, financial express analysis of the main developers in the region was carried out in order to identify their financial stability over the forecast horizon in the face of economic uncertainty. As a separate segment of the research, it is accepted to study dynamics of the main parameters of the mortgage territorial market as the main regulator of the housing market development. Formulated conclusions provide an opportunity to the subjects of the territorial housing market to form innovative individual corporate and government strategies of sustainable development for the short term in a turbulent economy.

Источники:

1. Asaul A.N., Asaul M.A., Starinskii V.N., Shcherbina G.F. Analiz i prognozirovanie rynka [Analysis and Forecasting of the Market]. Moscow, Yurait, 2022, 296 p. (Vysshee obrazovanie).

2. Asaul A.N., Starinskii V.N., Mamedov Sh.M., Shcherbina G.F. Analiz i prognozirovanie rynochnoi kon”yunktury [Analysis and Forecasting of Market Conditions]. Saint-Petersburg, ANO “Institut problem ekonomicheskogo vozrozhdeniya”, 2018, 464 p.

3. Asaul A.N., Asaul M.A., Lyulin P.B., Chepachenko N.V. Trendy zhilishchnogo stroitel’stva v Rossii i srednesrochnyi prognoz [Housing Construction Trends in Russia and Medium-term Forecast]. Problemy prognozirovaniya, 2019, no 3, pp. 111–117.

4. Asaul A. N., Asaul M. A., Liulin P. B., Chepachenko N.V. Housing Construction in Russia: Trends and Medium-Range Forecasts. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2019, vol. 30, N 3, pp. 313–318, DOI 10.1134/S1075700719030055.

5. Baronin S.A., Kulakov K.Yu. Genezis upravleniya stoimost’yu kontraktov zhiznennogo tsikla ob”ekta kapital’nogo stroitel’stva i stoimosti vladeniya nedvizhimost’yu [Genesis of Managing the Cost of Life Cycle Contracts for a Capital Construction Object and the Cost of Real Estate Ownership]. Nedvizhimost’: ekonomika, upravlenie, 2020, no 1, pp. 10–14.

6. Baronin S.A., Kulakov K.Yu., Timofeev K. P. Teoriya i praktika upravleniya konkurentosposobnost’yu na pervichnykh zhilishchnykh rynkakh po segment kompanii-liderov [Theory and Practice of Managing Competitiveness in Primary Housing Markets in the Segment of Leading Companies]. Penza, Penzenskii gosudarstvennyi universitet arkhitektury i stroitel’stva, 2017, 156 p.

7. Baronin S., Kulakov K. Development of life cycle valuation with priority of national projects and energy efficiency. E3S Web of Conferences. Rostov-on-Don, October 20–23, 2020. Rostov-on-Don, 2020, p. 07006, DOI 10.1051/e3sconf/202021707006.

8. Buzyrev V.V., Selyutina L.G. Zhilishchnaya problema i puti ee resheniya v sovremennykh usloviyakh [Housing Problem and Ways of Its Solution in Modern Conditions]. Saint-Petersburg, Izd-vo Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2013, 335 p.

9. Kulakov K.Yu., Baronin S.A. Stoimostnoe modelirovanie zhiznennykh tsiklov stroitel’stva zdanii na osnove sovokupnykh zatrat i otsenka stoimosti kontraktov na zhiznennye tsikly nedvizhimosti [Cost Modeling of Building Construction Life Cycles Based on Total Costs and Valuation of Contracts for Real Estate Life Cycles]. Nedvizhimost’: ekonomika, upravlenie, 2019, no 1, pp. 32–38.

10. Popova I.V., Kulakov K.Yu., Timofeev K.P. Issledovanie rynka vtorichnogo zhil’ya i analiz tendentsii ego razvitiya v Rossii [Research of the Secondary Housing Market and Analysis of Its Development Trends in Russia]. Penza: Penzenskii gosudarstvennyi universitet arkhitektury i stroitel’stva, 2017, 172 p.

11. Kamenetskii M.I. Otsenka variantov prognoza razvitiya stroitel’nogo kompleksa: 2020, 2030 gody [Evaluating Forecast Options of the Construction Complex Development: 2020, 2030]. Nauchnye trudy InPRAN, Moscow, MAKS Press, 2012, pp. 9–14.

12. Shelikhova E.V., Kostryukova T.D. Aktual’nost’ gosudarstvennoi podderzhki rynka zhiloi nedvizhimosti [Relevance of the State Support for the Residential Real Estate Market]. Ekonomika stroitel’stva i gorodskogo khozyaistva, 2021, no 4, pp. 219–227.

13. Mishin Yu.V., Mishin A.Yu. Osnovnye mekhanizmy razvitiya gosudarstvennogo strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii [Basic Mechanisms for Developing State Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 6, pp. 46–57, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.46-57.

14. Smorodinskaya N.V., Malygin V.E. Rezil’entnost’ kak strategicheskii imperativ v epokhu neopredelennosti [Resilience as a Strategic Imperative in the Age of Uncertainty]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 6, pp. 58–62, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.58-62.

15. Ipoteka v Rossii. Analiticheskoe issledovanie [Mortgage in Russia. Analytical Research], available at: https://ratings.ru/files/research/banks/NCR_Mortgage_Dec2021.pdf.

16. Edinyi resurs zastroishchikov [Unified Resource for Developers], available at: https://erzrf.ru.

17. TsIAN [CIAN], available at: https://penza.cian.ru/

18. SPARK [SPARK], available at: https://spark-interfax.ru.

19. Tsifrovaya platforma Restate [Restate Digital Platform], available at: https://penza.restate.ru