Ecuador is located on the equator, and we are more acutely than anyone else feeling terrible phenomena occurring in the nature — hard changes of climate, floods, volcanic eruptions, extinction of some species. If in the nearest future destructive trends continue, nothing will remain for our children and grandchildren.

Opening Remarks.

A good model can give a reasonable forecast in the field of its competence, subject to maintaining the existing economic relations, can identify threats to established order, but it does not allow to predict what will replace this order after the crisis.

The name “Strategies” (no “Forecasts”, for example) has deep meaning. In our unstable time it is practically impossible to make long-term predictions. However, we can imagine possible scenarios, choose among them the “desired” one and act in this direction — this is the “strategy”.

The Kremlin was left no choice but to return to a policy of “colonization of the village”, which was held earlier by S.J. Vitte while realizing industrialization — in other ways it was repeated in the 1930-s. But from 1947 till 1949 a series of measures were undertaken that made the peasants’ situation mournful.

Practice both of the Soviet and post-Soviet periods show that the policy based primarily on the implantation of new technological solutions and manufactures in the existing management practices can not become the guarantee of success. Perhaps the most obvious example is AvtoVAZ.

The profession of the scientist in Russia more isn’t claimed. We have lost the whole generation of scientists in sphere of natural sciences and mathematics in 1990th years.

The innovation process is a long, very long way. Very important is the ability to think ten years ahead and to be flexible enough to adapt, to tune finely and change strategies.

The fact that the railway, built with the highest careful attitude to the way of life of local residents, came to Khangalass land — is really a historic event, the importance of which is equal to geographical discovery. A key to this discovery today — the bridge across river Lena, the bridge into the future of Yakutia.

Foresight — is an active prediction, which includes elements of impact on the future by matching particular interests of different social strata of civil society.