The "Economic Strategies" journal

2024 #6. 2024. Treasured Star




Results of Russia’s Strategic Development for the First Three Quarters of 2024: Structural Transformation of the Economy Continues

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.84-89

The article dwells on the change in the market index of the “Economic Strategies” (MIES) for the first nine months of 2024.

Contribution of supply and demand indicators to the MIES is assessed. Industrial production is analyzed.

References:

1. Informatsiya o XIII s”ezde Federatsii nezavisimykh profsoyuzov Rossii ot 29 oktyabrya 2024 g. [Information about the XIII Congress of the Federation of Independent Trade Unions of Russia dated October 29, 2024]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75434

2. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe polozhenie Rossii v yanvare — sentyabre 2024 goda [Socio-economic Situation in Russia in January — September 2024]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-09-2024.pdf

3. Informatsiya o strategicheskoy sessii Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii o formirovanii edinogo plana po dostizheniyu natsional’nykh tseley razvitiya na period do 2030 goda i na perspektivu do 2036 goda ot 12 noyabrya 2024 g. [Information on the Strategic Session of the Government of the Russian Federation on the Formation of a Unified Plan for Achieving National Development Goals for the Period up to 2030 and for the Future up to 2036 dated November 12, 2024]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Pravitelstva RF, available at: http://government.ru/news/53282/

4. Prognoz sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na 2025 god i na planovyy period 2026 i 2027 godov [Forecast of Socio-economic Development of the Russian Federation for 2025 and for the Planning Period of 2026 and 2027], available at: file:///C:/Users/%D0%BF%D0%BA/Desktop/prognoz_socialno_ekonomicheskogo_razvitiya_rf_2025-2027.pdf

5. Frenkel’ A.A., Tikhomirov B.I., Surkov A.A. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe razvitie Rossii v I kvartale 2024 g. — ekonomicheskiy rost uskoryaetsya [Socioeconomic Development of Russia in the First Quarter of 2024 — Economic Growth is Accelerating]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2024, no 3(195), pp. 120–125, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.195.2024.120-125

6. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 7 maya 2024 g. “O natsional’nykh tselyakh razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda i na perspektivu do 2036 goda” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of May 7, 2024 “On the national development goals of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030 and for the perspective up to 2036”]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73986

It’s Time to Think about Using Expert Networks in Russian Public Administration

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.90-97

A special feature of the use of expert networks in public administration is the need to involve collective intelligence technologies based on a competence-based approach. The article proposes a scheme for organizing such use of expert communities with the help of national, sectoral and departmental competency frameworks. Introduction of expert networks in public administration can become a driver for their implementation in all spheres of the economy and public life of Russia, a tool for involving citizens in self-government.

References:

1. The Yankee Group. Knowledge Management. People and the Process. Boston, 1997, 89 p.

2. Friberg M. Expert network market size. Inex One, 2024, available at: https://inex.one/blog/expert-network-market-size

3. Slavin B. Sovremennye ekspertnye seti [Modern Expert Networks]. Otkrytye sistemy, 2014, no 7, pp. 30–33.

4. Noveck B.S. Wiki Government: How Technology Can Make Government Better, Democracy Stronger, and Citizens More Powerful. Washington DC, Brookings Institution Press, 2009, 224 p.

5. Dutton W.H. Networking Distributed Public Expertise: Strategies for Citizen Sourcing Advice to Government. Washington D.C., One of a Series of Occasional Papers in Science and Technology Policy, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Institute for Defense Analyses, 2010. 40 p.

6. EonD top talent accross policy lifecycle. EonD, available at: https://eond.eu/for-clients/government/

7. The OECD Network of Behavioural Insights Experts in Government. The OECD Observatory of Public Sector Innovation, 2024, available at: https://oecd-opsi.org/bi-network/

8. Australian Government Consulting. AGC, available at: https://agc.gov.au/

9. Perechen’ ekspertnykh sovetov pri FAS Rossii [List of Expert Councils under the FAS Russia]. FAS Rossii, available at: https://fas.gov.ru/pages/vazhnayainformacziya/otkryitoe-vedomstvo/ekspertnye_sovety

10. Federal’nyy reestr ekspertov nauchno-tekhnicheskoy sfery [Federal Register of Experts in the Scientific and Technical Sphere]. FGBNU NII RINKTsE, available at: https://reestr.extech.ru/experty/index.php

11. Slavin B.B. Tekhnologii kollektivnogo intellekta [Collective Intelligence Technologies]. Problemy upravleniya, 2016, no 5, pp. 2–9.

12. Boucher S., Hallin C.A., Paulson L., editors. The Routledge Handbook of Collective Intelligence for Democracy and Governance. Abingdon, Taylor & Francis Group, 2023, 522 p.

13. Lepskiy V.E. Metodologicheskiy i filosofskiy analiz razvitiya problematiki upravleniya [Methodological and Philosophical Analysis of the Development of Management Issues]. Moscow, Kogito-Tsentr, 2019, 340 p.

14. Sungurov A. Ekcpertnye soobshchestva i vlast’ [Expert Communities and Authorities]. Moscow, Politicheskaya entsiklopediya, 2020, 231 p.

15. Avdeeva Z.K., Baryshnikov P.Yu., Slavin B.B. Strategicheskoe tselepolaganie v situatsionnykh tsentrakh razvitiya [Strategic Goal Setting in Situational Development Centers]. Moscow, Kogito-Tsentr, 2018, 320 p.

Data-driven Healthcare Management

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.98-103

Preserving the population and strengthening its health is impossible without introducing new methods of healthcare management, including personalized monitoring, express diagnostics based on machine learning, mathematical and statistical methods of big data analysis, in particular construction of explanatory and predictive models based on strong artificial intelligence. The author provides an assessment of data (morbidity and mortality by causes of death) characterizing the health status of the population, which are freely available on the Internet information and telecommunications network.

The article concludes that it is advisable to apply the correlation analysis method to medical statistical data, since identification of new patterns allows to optimize approaches to early diagnosis and prevention of diseases, and therefore makes a positive contribution to improving the health of the population.

References:

1. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 7 maya 2024 g. N 309 “O natsional’nykh tselyakh razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda i na perspektivu do 2036 goda” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of May 7, 2024 No. 309 “On the national development goals of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030 and for the perspective up to 2036”]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/50542

2. Zdravookhranenie v Rossii: Statisticheskiy sb.: Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki (Rosstat) [Healthcare in Russia: Statistical Collection: Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat)]. Moscow, Rosstat, 2023, 181 p. Demoskop. 2024. 30 yanvarya — 12 fevralya, available at: https://www.demoscope.ru/weekly/2024/01017/biblio01.php

3. Rossiyskiy statisticheskiy ezhegodnik: Statisticheskiy sb.: Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki (Rosstat) [Russian Statistical Yearbook: Statistical Collection: Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat)]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/12994

4. O sostoyanii sanitarno-epidemiologicheskogo blagopoluchiya naseleniya v Rossiyskoy Federatsii: Gosudarstvennyy doklad: Federal’naya sluzhba po nadzoru v sfere zashchity prav potrebiteley i blagopoluchiya cheloveka [On the State of Sanitary and Epidemiological well-being of the Population in the Russian Federation: State Report: Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-being], available at: https://www.rospotrebnadzor.ru/
upload/iblock/fbc/sd3prfszlc9c2r4xbmsb7o3us38nrvpk/Gosudarstvennyy-doklad-_O-sostoyanii-sanitarno_epidemiologicheskogo-blagopoluchiya-naseleniyav-
Rossiyskoy-Federatsii-v-2023-godu.pdf

Knowledge Management in the Context of Spiral Dynamics

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.104-111

Nowadays, the «knowledge management» concept is often used, since today an employee is, first of all, an intellectual worker. However, an allowance is rarely made for the organizational environment in which managers and executives manage

knowledge and due to which this management can be modified. The purpose of the present work is to explain the «knowledge management» term from the point of view of the spiral dynamics concept. The results of the analysis have revealed that interpretation of the «knowledge management» concept becomes more complicated as the level of spiral dynamics increases, and it also begins to acquire features of its previous levels. These assumptions are intended to help managers and executives adapt their skills in intellectual worker management based on the level of spiral dynamics at which their organization is.

References:

1. Sukharev O.S. Tekhnologicheskiy suverenitet Rossii: formirovanie na baze razvitiya sektora “ekonomika znaniy” [Technological Sovereignty of Russia: Formation based on the Development of the “Knowledge Economy” Sector]. Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiyskoy akademii nauk, 2024, no 1, pp. 47–64, DOI: https://doi.org/DOI: 10.52180/2073-6487_2024_1_47_64

2. Gurtskoy L.D., Zudin A.B., Vvedenskiy A.I. Upravlenie zdorov’em sotrudnikov v usloviyakh tsifrovizatsii [Employee Health Management in the Context of Digitalization]. Problemy sotsial’noy gigieny, zdravookhraneniya i istorii meditsiny, 2022, vol. 30, no 6, pp. 1313–1317, DOI: 10.32687/0869-866X-2022-30-6-1313-1317

3. Mintsberg G. 2004. Struktura v kulake: sozdanie effektivnoy organizatsii [Structure in a Fist: Creating an Effective Organization]. Per. s angl. pod red. Yu.N. Kapturevskogo. Saint Petersburg, Piter, 2004, 512 p.

4. SDi Foundation [Website]. Spiral Dynamics Foundation, 2024, available at: https://sdifoundation.com

5. Bek D., Larsen T., Solonin S., Vildzhoen R. Spiral’naya dinamika na praktike. Model’ razvitiya lichnosti, organizatsii i chelovechestva [Spiral Dynamics in Practice: A Model of Personal, Organizational and Human Development]. Moscow, Al’pina Pablisher, 2018.

6. Butters Albion M. A brief history of Spiral Dynamics. Approaching Religion, vol. 5, no 2, pp. 67–78.

7. Graves C.W. With comments by E.C. World Future Society. Human Nature Prepares for a Momentous Leap. The Futurist, 1974, pp. 72–87.

8. Bek D., Kovan K. Spiral’naya dinamika. Upravlyaya tsennostyami, liderstvom i izmeneniya v XXI veke [Spiral Dynamics: Managing Values, Leadership, and Change in the 21st Century]. BestBusinessBooks. Open World Publishing House, 2010, 424 p.

9. Lalu F. Otkryvaya organizatsii budushchego [Discovering the Organizations of the Future]. Moscow, Mann, Ivanov i Ferber, 2016.

10. Kleyner G.B. Spiral’naya dinamika, sistemnye tsikly i novye organizatsionnye modeli: perlamutrovye predpriyatiya [Spiral Dynamics, Systemic Cycles and New Organizational Models: Pearlescent Enterprises]. Rossiyskiy zhurnal menedzhmenta, 2020, vol. 18, no 4, pp. 471–496, available at: https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu18.2020.401

Peculiarities of the Approach to the “Reserves Game” in the Anglo-Saxon Strategic Culture

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.118-123

In the first half of the 2020s the process of forming a new world order has turned around. “Western democracies” are afraid of critical reduction in their positions and influence; they have chosen the strategy of “curbing” the leading “rising” powers of the non-West (Russia, China, Iran). Success in each confrontation is possible only through the competent use of correctly calculated forces and resources (both one’s own and those of the partners) with the aim of exhausting the opponent. The article examines such capabilities of the USA and Great Britain, using their approach to the “game of reserves” in the use of armed forces as an example. It emphasizes the rich historical experience of Great Britain as the center of a huge colonial empire and the USA as a key country in the vast community of “Western democracies”.

References:

1. Chekmarev G.F. Voennaya strategiya v Velikoy Otechestvennoy voyne: Istoriya voennoy strategii Rossii [Military Strategy in the Great Patriotic War: History of Russian Military Strategy]. Institut voennoy istorii Ministerstva oborony RF; Pod red. general-mayora V.A. Zolotareva. Moscow, Kuchkovo pole, Poligrafresursy, 2000, pp. 255–376.

2. Vtoraya mirovaya voyna. Itogi i uroki [World War II: Results and Lessons]. Moscow, Voennoe izdatel’stvo, 1985, 447 p.

3. Die Bundeswehr im Kalten Krieg. Bundeswehr, 2014, available at: https://www.bundeswehr.de/de/ueber-die-bundeswehr/geschichte-bundeswehr/kalter-krieg

4. New NATO Force Model. NATO, 2022, available at: https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2022/6/pdf/220629-infographic-new-nato-forcemodel.pdf

5. Biscop S. The New Force Model: NATO’s European Army? Egmont Policy Brief, 2022, no 285, 6 p.

6. NATO’s military presence in the east of the Alliance. NATO, 2023, available at: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_136388.htm

7. Statement of general Christopher G. Cavoli, United States Army. United States European Command. US DoD, 2023, April 26, available at: https://

armedservices.house.gov/sites/republicans.armedservices.house.gov/files/04.26.23%20Cavoli%20Statement%20v2.pdf

8. Military Presence. U.S. Personnel in NATO Europe. GAO/NSIAD-90-04. Washington, US General Accounting Office, 1990, 108 p.

9. “Ukraina — eto tol’ko nachalo”: SShA otpravlyayut voyska v Evropu. Chem otvetit Rossiya na usilenie boevoy moshchi NATO? Lenta.ru, 2023, 27 noyabrya, available at: https://lenta.ru/articles/2023/11/27/us_presence/

10. Atlas ofitsera. GSh VS SSSR [Atlas of the Officer. General Staff of the USSR Armed Forces]. Moscow, Voenno-topograficheskoe upravlenie General’nogo shtaba, 1974, 396 p.

Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Creating Optimal Quality Indicators for Technical Vision in the Scientific Works of I.L. Geykhman

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.198.2024.124-129

The article dwells on theoretical foundations and practical approaches to the creation of optimal quality indicators of technical vision in the scientific works of Professor I.L. Geykhman. Currently, technical vision systems (TVS) based on optical-electronic devices (OED) operating in conditions of low illumination of objects and facilities are becoming increasingly widespread. These TVS are intended to solve global problems of science and technology. Interest in the topic under consideration is related to the relevance of solving the problem of increasing labour productivity, as well as the need to prevent injuries during underground and open-pit mining, identifying modern capabilities and prospects for production automation based on technical vision tools.

References:

1. Belozerov A.F. Optika Rossii. Ocherki istorii i razvitiya [Optics of Russia. Essays on History and Development]. Kazan’, Tsentr innovatsionnykh tekhnologiy, 2012, vol. 1, 604 p.; 2013, vol. 2, 612 p.

2. Bakhrakh A.M. Iz istorii opticheskogo priborostroeniya. Ocherki [From the History of Optical Instrumentation. Essays]. Vol. 1. Moscow, GNTI mashinostroitel’noy literatury, 1951, 222 p.

3. Perepisnaya kniga goroda Moskvy 1638 goda [Census Books of Moscow. 1638]. Moscow, 1881.

4. Chenakal V.L. Optika v dorevolyutsionnoy Rossii: Trudy Instituta Istorii estestvoznaniya [Optics in Pre-revolutionary Russia. Proceedings of the IIET]. Vol. 1. Moscow, AN SSSR, 1947, 536 p.

5. Kornitskoy I.P. V izd.: Otechestvennyy voenno-promyshlennyy kompleks i ego istoricheskoe razvitie [In the scientific publication: “The Domestic Militaryindustrial Complex and Its Historical Development]. Pod red. O.D. Baklanova, O.K. Rogozina. Moscow, Ladoga-100, 2005, 752 p.

6. Geykhman I.L. Nauchnye ocnovy sozdaniya tekhnicheskogo videniya dlya gornykh rabot [Scientific Foundations of Creating a Technical Vision for Mining]. Moscow, Nauka, 1989, 151 p.

7. Geykhman I.L., Gvozdev S.M., Romanov S.S. O vidimosti izobrazheniy pri ispol’zovanii shakhtnykh sistem vizualizatsii [On the Visibility of Images When Using Mine Imaging Systems]. Svetotekhnika, 1988, no 4, pp. 6–8.

8. Geykhman I.L., Volkov V.G. Osnovy uluchsheniya vidimosti v slozhnykh usloviyakh [Fundamentals of Improving Visibility in Difficult Conditions]. Moscow, Nedra-Biznestsentr, 1999, 286 p.

9. Geykhman I.L. Povyshenie effektivnosti raboty gornykh mashin sredstvami tekhnicheskogo videniya [Improving the Efficiency of Mining Machines by Means of Technical Vision]. Moscow, Izd-vo IGD im. Skochinskogo, 1993.

10. Geykhman I.L. Metodika sozdaniya shakhtnykh videokontrol’nykh ustroystv [Methods of Creating Mine Video Monitoring Devices]. Moscow, Izd-vo IGD im. Skochinskogo, 1988, 82 p.

11. Orlov V.A., Petrov V.I. Pribory nablyudeniya noch’yu pri ogranichennoy vidimosti [Night Observation Devices with Limited Visibility]. Moscow, Voenizdat, 1989, 256 p.