The "Economic Strategies" journal

2024 #4. 2024. Ultimatum flexibility




On the Way to the Harmosphere

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.108-113

The article dwells on the concept of harmosphere — the sphere of harmony of mind and feeling, man and nature, natural and human sciences. The noosphere arose with the beginning of the “industrial revolution”, when the progress of mankind as a whole came to be determined by reason. According to V.I. Vernadsky, man becomes “the largest geological force.” Modernity corresponds to the end of the noospheric stage of development and the beginning of the harmosphere formation. The “end” of the noosphere correlates with the emergence and legalization of nuclear missile weapons capable of destroying civilization.

References:

1. Golubev V.S. Osnovy garmonologii [Basics of Harmonology]. Moscow, Lenand, 2018.

2. Golubev V.S. Priroda — chelovek — obshchestvo: razvitie i garmoniya [Nature — Man — Society: Development and Harmony]. Moscow, Lenand, 2016.

3. Golubev V.S. Garmoniya spaset mir [Harmony will Save the World]. Moscow, Lenand, 2017.

4. Golubev V.S. Ocherki ekosotsiogumanizma [Essays on Ecosociohumanism]. Moscow, Lenand, 2021.

5. Panov A.D. Singulyarnaya tochka istorii [Singular Point of History] Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost’, 2015, no 1.

2024 — Year of the Family. New Measures to Support the Birth Rate in Russia

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.114-123

Recently Russia has been actively searching for a way out of the demographic crisis. A timely response to internal demographic problems became the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin, according to which 2024 has been declared the Year of the Family. Focus on popularizing family values shows that the problem is becoming more and more pertinent, and no effective solutions have been found to date.

Demographic problem in general is widely discussed in Russia, attempts are made to reverse the negative trend with the help of various economic measures. However, any significant progress hasn’t yet been achieved. In this regard, new views and approaches to solving this problem are extremely in demand.

References:

1. Goncharova N.P., Eremin A.A., Tarasova E.V. K voprosu o metodike otsenki rezul’tativnosti demograficheskoy politiki. Demograficheskiy potentsial stran EAES: VIII Ural’skiy demograficheskiy forum [On the Methodology for Assessing the Effectiveness of Demographic Policy: Demographic Potential of the EAEU Countries: VIII Ural Demographic Forum]. Vol. II. Ekaterinburg, Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN, 2017, pp. 77–81.

2. Pasport natsional’nogo proekta “Demografiya” (utv. prezidiumom Soveta pri Prezidente RF po strategicheskomu razvitiyu i natsional’nym proektam, protokol ot 24 dekabrya 2018 g. N 16) [Passport of the National Project “Demography” (Approved by the Presidium of the Council under the President of the Russian Federation for Strategic Development and National Projects, Protocol of December 24, 2018 No. 16)], available at: http://static.government.ru/media/ files/Z4OMjDgCaeohKWaA0psu6lCekd3hwx2m.pdf

3. Demografiya [Demography]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/12781

4. Federal’nyy zakon ot 19 maya 1995 g. N 81-FZ “O gosudarstvennykh posobiyakh grazhdanam, imeyushchim detey” (v red. Federal’nykh zakonov ot 24 noyabrya 1995 g. N 184-FZ, ot 18 iyunya 1996 g. N 76-FZ, ot 24 noyabrya 1996 g. N 130-FZ, ot 30 dekabrya 1996 g. N 162-FZ, ot 21 iyulya 1998 g. N 117-FZ, ot 29 iyulya 1998 g. N 134-FZ, ot 17 iyulya 1999 g. N 171-FZ, ot 10 iyulya 2000 g. N 93-FZ, ot 7 avgusta 2000 g. N 122-FZ, ot 30 maya 2001 g. N 66-FZ, ot 30 maya 2001 g. N 67-FZ, ot 28 dekabrya 2001 g. N 181-FZ, ot 25 iyulya 2002 g. N 116-FZ, ot 22 avgusta 2004 g. N 122-FZ, ot 29 dekabrya 2004 g. N 206-FZ) [Federal Law of May 19, 1995 No. 81-FZ «On State Benefits to Citizens with Children» (as amended by Federal Laws of November 24, 1995 No. 184-FZ, June 18, 1996 No. 76-FZ, November 24, 1996 No. 130-FZ, December 30, 1996 No. 162-FZ, July 21, 1998 No. 117-FZ, July 29, 1998 No. 134-FZ, July 17, 1999 No. 171-FZ, July 10, 2000 No. 93-FZ, August 7, 2000 No. 122-FZ of May 30, 2001 No. 66-FZ of May 30, 2001 No. 67-FZ of December 28, 2001 No. 181-FZ of July 25, 2002 No. 116- FZ of August 22, 2004 No. 122-FZ of December 29, 2004 No. 206-FZ)]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Ministerstva truda i sotsial’noy zashchity RF, available at: https://mintrud. gov.ru/docs/laws/77

Subject-Oriented Business Process Management as a Tool for Innovative Development of an Enterprise

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.128-136

The article explores mechanisms for increasing resilience and sustainability of commercial organizations in conditions of growing instability of the external environment. Approaches to understanding viability, sustainability and adaptability of an organization are analyzed. The concept of managerial cross-section is introduced. Among the highlighted sections, the authors examine in more details the tools for studying a communication aspect. Advantages of subject-oriented management for designing communications in an organization are described, some risks of implementing the proposed strategy are identified. Relevance of the study is determined by parameters and trends of change in the modern market environment, which really necessitate to strengthen the dynamics of renewal and adaptation processes, since acceleration of technological innovation is not accompanied by adequate and comparable development of management models. Results obtained can be applied for theoretical research into the functioning of sociotechnical systems of different scales. Also, the proposed approach can be put into practice as part of the development of measures aimed at transforming the company’s business model or improving the efficiency of operational management.

References:

1. Lavrikova Yu.G., Buchinskaya O.N., Myslyakova Yu.G. Teoriya khaosa: rasshirenie granits ekonomicheskikh issledovaniy [Chaos Theory: Expanding the Frontiers of Economic Research]. AlterEconomics, 2023, vol. 20, no 1, pp. 79–109, DOI: 10.31063/AlterEconomics/2023.20-1.5

2. Abramov V.I., Churkin D.A. Otsenka urovnya zrelosti sistemy upravleniya vzaimootnosheniyami s klientami [Assessing the Maturity Level of a Customer Relationship Management System]. Vestnik universiteta, 2022, no 12, pp, 5–13.

3. Pratt M., Kakula S. Motivatsiya v kommercheskoy kompanii s ispol’zovaniem kommunikatsiy, osnovannykh na tekhnologiyakh: V kn.: Dingli A., Khaddod F. Iskusstvennyy intellekt v Industrii 4.0. Issledovaniya v oblasti vychislitel’nogo intellekta [Motivation in a Commercial Company Using Technology-based Communications: In: Dingli A., Haddod F. Artificial Intelligence in Industry 4.0. Research in Computational Intelligence]. Springer, 2021, vol. 928, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-61045-6_2 https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-61045-6_2

4. Abramov V.I., Abramov I.V., Polivanov K.V., Semenkov K.Yu. Kontseptual’naya mode’’ tsifrovoy sistemy analiticheskoy podderzhki distantsionnogo upravleniya personalom organizatsii [Conceptual Model of a Digital System of Analytical Support for Remote Management of an Organization’s Personnel]. Ekonomika, predprinimatel’stvo i pravo, 2023, vol. 13, vol. 7, pp. 2341–2352, DOI: 10.18334/epp.13.7.118326.

5. Romanova O.A., Sirotin D.V., Ponomareva A.O. Ot ekonomiki soprotivleniya — k rezil’entnoy ekonomike (na primere promyshlennogo regiona) [From the Economy of Resistance to the Resilient Economy (Using the Example of an Industrial Region)]. AlterEconomics, 2022, vol. 19, no 4, pp. 620–637, DOI: 10.31063/AlterEconomics/2022.19-4.4

Choosing a Competitive Strategy for Launching a Medical Product on the Market: By the Example of Technical Rehabilitation Equipmen

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.136-143

Competitive strategy of the company engaged in medical equipment in the B2G market is considered. The author analyzes the process of choosing a strategy for launching a new brand in conditions of high market competition — against the background of significant market monopolization and risks of the new competitors’ emergence. Driving forces of this market, regulation, target audiences and stakeholders are described.

References:

1. Kornienko D.A. Rynok rossiiskogo meditsinskogo oborudovaniya v period ekonomicheskikh sanktsii. Modernizatsiya rossiiskogo obshchestva i obrazovaniya: novye ekonomicheskie orientiry, strategii upravleniya, voprosy pravoprimeneniya i podgotovki kadrov [The Russian Medical Equipment Market During the Period of Economic Sanctions. Modernization of Russian Society and Education: New Economic Guidelines, Management Strategies, Law Enforcement Issues and Personnel Training]. Materialy XXIV Natsional’noi nauchnoi konferentsii (c mezhdunarodnym uchastiem). Taganrog, 2023. Tom I. Taganrog: Taganrogskij institut upravleniya i ekonomiki, 2023. pp. 412–429.

2.Kopylov M.A. Obespechenie ustoichivogo razvitiya rossiiskikh proizvoditelei medtekhniki v usloviyakh vneshne ekonomicheskikh sanktsii [Ensuring Sustainable Development of Russian Medical Equipment Manufacturers in the Context of Foreign Economic Sanctions]. Tsifrovizatsiya tekhnosfery: nauchnyi podkhod: Sbornik nauchnykh statei Natsional’noi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii. Moskva: Rossiiskii tekhnologicheskii universitet, 2022. pp. 110–113.

3.Basil N. Stoma care: the market in products lets patients down. BMJ, 2013.

4.Simatov S.A. Problemy organizacii okazanija medicinskoj i reabilitacionnoj pomoshhi stomirovannym bol’nym na sovremennom jetape [Problems of the Organization of Medical and Rehabilitation Care for Stoma Patients at the Present Stage] // Vestnik medicinskogo instituta «REAVIZ». 2017. № 3. pp. 78–82.

5.Simatov S.A. Spornye i nereshennye voprosy okazanija pomoshhi stomirovannym pacientam v ambulatornyh uslovijah (obzor literatury) [Disputed and Unresolved Issues of Assistance to Stoma Patients in Outpatient Settings (a literature review)] / S.A. Simatov, M.Ju. Zasypkin, S.A. Stoljarov [et al.] // Vestnik medicinskogo instituta «REAVIZ». 2019. № 5. pp. 75–84.

6. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 22 noyabrya 2017 g. N 2599-r «O strategii razvitiya proizvodstva promyshlennoi produktsii reabilitatsionnoi napravlennosti do 2025 g.» [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation of November 22, 2017 No. 2599-r “On the Strategy for the Development of Industrial Production of Rehabilitation Products until 2025”]. Garant, available at: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/71719020/

7. Prikaz Ministerstva truda i sotsial’noi zashchity Rossiiskoi Federatsii ot 31.05.2023 № 482n «Ob utverzhdenii professional’nogo standarta «Pomoshchnik po ukhodu»» [Order of the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection of the Russian Federation dated May 31, 2023 No. 482n “On Approval of the Professional Standard Care Assistant”]. Garant, available at: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/407247740/

Second Trump Сombinatorics: assassination attempt. Part I. Geostrategy

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.18-25

The article dwells on technology developed and tested in the United States for constructing political future with the help of targeted force actions within the framework of the fuzzy logic of political multi-steps. The failed quasi-assassination attempt on the US presidential candidate Donald Trump on July 13, 2024 is a political combination preempting the civil war. Its goal is to reduce destructiveness of the political clash following the expected and even more dubious than in 2020, Joe Biden’s victory in the 2024 election, which implied incorrect ways of removing Trump from the presidential race. As a result, a bifurcation point in the US political development has been passed: now there is someone to implement a package of unpopular strategic measures to reorganize the US. Essentially, the murky episode of the assassination attempt turned out to be a way out of the political deadlock.

References:

1. Brat’ya Strugatskie. Obitaemyy ostrov [Inhabited Island]. Moscow, Detskaya literatura, 1971. 320 p., ill. (Biblioteka priklyucheniy i nauchnoy fantastiki.)

2. Ageev A.I. Rol’ sanktsiy, konfliktov i spetsoperatsiy: razmyshleniya o budushchem. Chast’ 2 [The Role of Sanctions, Conflicts and Special Operations: Reflections on the Future. Part 2]. Nauchnyy vestnik oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii, 2024, no 1, pp. 33–42.

3. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Krakh dollara: proektirovanie deystviy Rossii v usloviyakh global’nogo ekonomicheskogo kollapsa [The Dollar Collapse: Projecting Russia’s Actions in the Face of Global Economic Collapse]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 4(184), pp. 56–69, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es- 4.184.2022.56-69

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Mirovoe soobshchestvo v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskoy bifurkatsii: Upravlenie slozhnymi organizatsionnymi i tekhnicheskimi sistemami v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskikh situatsiy: Materialy mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii, Moskva, 21–22 aprelya 2022 g. [World Community in Conditions of Supercritical Bifurcation: Management of Complex Organizational and Technical Systems in Conditions of Supercritical Situations: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Moscow, April 21–22, 2022.]. Moscow, Institut ekonomicheskikh strategiy, 2022, pp. 9–12.

5. Loginov E.L., Zarbaliev S.M., Grigor’ev V.V. Otsenka veroyatnostnykh kharakteristik sluchaynykh protsessov v mirovoy ekonomike v usloviyakh nelineynoy dinamiki s sushchestvennoy khaoticheskoy komponentoy [Assessment of Probabilistic Characteristics of Random Processes in the Global Economy under Conditions of Nonlinear Dynamics with a Significant Chaotic Component]. Iskusstvennye obshchestva, 2020, vol. 15, no 1, p. 5.

6. Loginov E.L. Tsifrovye tekhnologii politicheskoy bor’by: neyrosetevye imperativy informatsionnogo protivodeystviya popytkam perekhvata upravleniya v sotsial’no-politicheskoy srede [Digital Technologies of Political Struggle: Neural Network Imperatives of Information Counteraction to Attempts of Intercepting Control in the Socio-political Environment]. Moscow, Rusayns, 2024, 234 p.

On Some Obvious and Non-obvious Risks of the Modern Financial System

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.18-25

Despite improving economic indicators and revisions towards better forecasts for 2024, systemic threats and risks, which are not always obvious, remain in the global economy. In the article, the author draws attention to a number of new problems and circumstances that are changing financial landscape in the world. In particular, attention is paid to expanding approaches of central banks in new conditions, risks arising from the technological advancement of commercial banks, which requires more careful control to prevent a destabilizing effect on the financial sector as a whole, etc.

References:

1. BIS. Annual Economic Report. Basel, June, 2023, available at: https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2023e.htm

2. UN. World Economic Situation and Prospects. May 2024, available at: https://www.un.org/development/desa/dpad/publication/world-economic-situationand-prospects-as-of-mid-2024/

3. Bank JP Morgan otkroet bolee 500 novykh otdeleniy v blizhayshie tri goda [JP Morgan will Open More than 500 New Branches in the Next Three Years]. Kommersant. 2024. 6 fevralya. URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6494367

4. China’s central bank hints it may add treasury bond trades to policy toolkit. Reuters. April 23, 2024, available at: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/ chinas-central-bank-hints-it-may-add-treasury-bond-trades-policy-toolkit-2024-04-23/

5. UN. World Economic Situation and Prospects. January 2024. UN, available at: https://www.un.org/development/desa/dpad/publication/world-economicsituation-and-prospects-2024/

6. Roskongress. Zamorozka aktivov. Traditsii i novye printsipy raboty Zapada s aktivami tret’ikh stran [Росконгресс. Roscongress. Freeze of Assets. Traditions and New Principles of Western Work with Assets of Third Countries]. Roskongress, 2023, Dekabr’ available at: https://roscongress.org/materials/ zamorozka-aktivov-samoupravstvo-ili-zakonnyy-shag/

Aspects of Developing and Testing New Financial Technologies for International Payments

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.30-37

The article dwells on the effectiveness of cryptocurrency technologies for international payments. Insufficiency of cryptocurrency resources for solving this problem under sanctions is shown. The author proposes a way to solve the problem by creating an international financial system based on a digital golden gram (abbreviated in English: DiGGram or digram) — a stealth cryptocurrency with an anonymous group stable and a zero-knowledge algorithm. It will be impossible for unfriendly states to track transactions of such currency. Emission of digram will not require mining or electricity consumption. Taxation of foreign trade transactions with digram should be carried out in the same way as taxation of transactions with other currencies. The article proposes an original information technology for the forced unlocking of blocked Eurodollar financial assets and converting them into resources to support the emission of a gold gram for forming financial assets of countries participating in the financial system based on a digital gold gram. The proposed measures will make it possible to unite up to 30 countries subject to sanctions into a new international financial system and create financial resources in the amount of up to 0 billion, of which up to 0 billion can be used to service international payments of the Russian Federation.

References:

1. V TsB prizvali “probovat’ vse” dlya resheniya problemy perevodov za rubezh [The Central Bank urged to “Try Everything” to Solve the Problem of Transfers Abroad]. RBK, Finansy, 2024, 26 iyunya, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/finances/26/06/2024/667c04189a79474a3d678ec2

2. Summarnaya kapitalizatsiya kriptovalyut dostigla 2,4 trln dollarov [Total Capitalization of Cryptocurrencies has Achieved .4 Trillion]. Blockchair, available at: https://blockchair.com/ru/news/summarnaa-kapitalizacia-kriptovalut-dostigla-24-trln-dollarov–d28ebf3e52

3. Kitay, Indiya i Turtsiya stali glavnymi torgovymi partnerami Rossii v 2023 godu [China, India and Türkiye have become Russia’s Main Trading Partners in 2023]. Izvestiya, 2024, 8 aprelya, available at: https://iz.ru/1678604/2024-04-08/kitai-indiia-i-turtciia-stali-glavnymi-torgovymi-partneramirossii-v-2023-godu

4. Valyuta, osnovannaya na odnom gramme zolota [Currency Based on one Gram of Gold]. Dzen. 2023. 10 iyulya. URL: https://dzen.ru/a/ ZKxbgrfr_3KEBIFV

5. Kogda poyavitsya novaya valyuta BRIKS i kak ona povliyaet na rubl’ [When the New BRICS Currency will Appear and How it will Impact the Rouble]. T–Zh. 2024. 18 aprelya. URL: https://journal.tinkoff.ru/news/brics-currency/

6. Yuliya Abdulbarova. Top-7 stran pod sanktsiyami: kak zhivut gosudarstva pod sanktsionnymi ogranicheniyami? [Top 7 Countries under Sanctions: How do States Live under Sanctions?]. LinDEAL. URL: https://lindeal.com/trends/top-7-stran-pod-sankciyami-kak-zhivut-gosudarstva-pod-sankcionnymi-ogranicheniyami

7. Zamorozka aktivov. Traditsii i novye printsipy raboty Zapada s rezervami tret’ikh stran [Asset Freezing. Traditions and New Principles of the West’s Work with Reserves of Third Countries]. Dzen, 2023, 27 dekabrya, available at: https://dzen.ru/a/ZYvtfjnG4kyLlH9F