DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.90-101

The article examines key trends in the development of the Russian appraisal industry in 2023–2024, analyzes problem areas and outlines the points of growth. The author relies on the results of an annual study of the valuation services market, which is conducted by the Rating Center of the Institute for Economic Strategies in order to study the ability of industry companies to adapt to current realities and to identify leaders capable of creating and exploiting high strategic potential. When forming a company profile and constructing a scenario forecast of the company’s strategic potential dynamics, in addition to quantitative indicators, qualitative indicators are analyzed, including the level of the services differentiation, the quality of goal setting, involvement in the activities of professional communities, the company’s attitude to the external environment — from participation in charity programs to attention to details that form the image.

References:

1. 2023 Appraisal Industry Benchmark Report. VALCRE, available at: https://www.valcre.com/2023-appraisal-industry-benchmark-report/

2. Digital Transformation in Appraisals: Preparing for the Future. Aloft, available at: https://www.aloftappraisal.com/blog/digital-transformation-in-appraisals

3. Can artificial intelligence finally provide a fair and efficient appraisal process? American City&County, available at: https://www.americancityandcounty.com/2023/02/23/can-artificial-intelligence-finally-provide-a-fair-and-efficient-appraisal-process/

4. AI in appraisal: Can AI coexist with appraisers in the valuation industry? ValuationReview, available at: https://www.valuationreview.com/VR/appraisaltechnology-

2023.aspx

5. Boris Yatsenko. Seychas vremya sil’nykh natsional’nykh brendov v konsaltinge [Now is the Time for Strong National Brands in Consulting]. Kommersant”, 2023, 31 avgusta, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6172853

6. S optimizmom k peremenam [Optimistic for Change]. Kommersant”, 2023, 31 avgusta, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6172850

7. Mireille Mathieu. “Quand fera-t-il jour, camarade” (1967). YouTube, available at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZfbZC-SNus

8. Ekaterina Svinova, Evgeniy Vladimirov. S 2025 goda v EAES nachnet funktsionirovat’ edinyy rynok uslug po otsenke imushchestva [From 2025, a Single

Market for Property Valuation Services will begin to Function in the EAEU]. Rossiyskaya gazeta, 2023, 31 avgusta, available at: https://rg.ru/2023/08/31/s-2025-goda-v-eaes-nachnet-funkcionirovat-edinyj-rynok-uslug-po-ocenke-imushchestva.html

9. 29 marta 2023 goda vstupil v silu novyy federal’nyy standart otsenki “Otsenka intellektual’noy sobstvennosti i nematerial’nykh aktivov (FSO XI)” (utv. prikazom Minekonomrazvitiya Rossii ot 30 noyabrya 2022 g. N 659) [On March 29, 2023, The New Federal Valuation Standard “Valuation of Intellectual Property and Intangible Assets (FSO XI)” Came into Force (approved by order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia dated November 30, 2022 No. 659)]. OPEO, available at: http://opeo.ru/01.01.02.03/1486.aspx

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.102-113

The author of the article summarizes the key current trends in human resource management over the past two decades, regularly analyzed by various research and consulting companies.

Based on the assessments of a number of foreign and Russian experts in the field of HRM, three groups of these trends and factors, that determined them, are identified: 1) related to the changed business context, the labour market and the need for qualified personnel; 2) related to new digital technologies and tools; 3) related to organizational culture and HRM ideology.

These trends have a significant impact on human resource management strategy.

References:

1. How to Foster Collaboration Within Hybrid Working Teams. My HR futureб available at: https://www.myhrfuture.com/digital-hr-leaders-podcast/25/10/2022

2. Akhmetov S. Trendy rossiyskogo HR: vyzovy i novye IT-tekhnologii [Russian HR-trends: Challenges and New IT Technologies]. RBK Trendy, 2023, 20 oktyabrya, available at: https://trends.rbc.ru/trends/social/20/10/2023

3. Issledovanie: kak krupnyy rossiyskiy biznes budet razvivat’ tekhnologii udalennoy raboty [The Study: How Large Russian Business Will Develop Distant Work Technologies]. S-News, 2021, 26 yanvarya, available at: https://www.cnews.ru/articles/2021-01-26_cnews_analytics/ 27/01/2021

4. Issledovanie gibridnogo formata raboty NAFI i Logitech [The Study of Gibrid Formats of Work by NAFI and Logitech]. ]. IXBT, 2022, 17 fevralya, available at: https://ixbt.pro/news/2022/02/17/

5. Making Wellbeing Part of a Company’s DNA. AON, available at: https://www.aon.com/en/insights/articles/01/06/2023

6. 7 trends that will define HR in 2024. Сulture Аmp., available at: https://www.cultureamp.com/blog/21.01.2024

7. Analitiki soobshchili o sokrashchenii chisla vakansiy s “udalenkoy” v Rossii [Analytics Announced Decrease of Distant Vacancies in Russia]. RBK, 2023, 17 aprelya, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/society/17/04/2023/643c8f859a79476052551264

8. 4 Day Week Global. 4 Day Week Global, available at: www.4dayweek.com

9. “Ofisnye bolezni”: kak zdaniya vredyat nashemu zdorov’yu [Office Diseases: How Buildings Harm Our Health]. RBK Trendy, available at: https://trends.rbc.ru/trends/social/636e47459a79470dabbbf55f?from=copy

10. Global Risk Management Survey 2023–2024. AON, available at: https://www.aon.com/en/insights/reports/

11. Van Vulpen E., Veldsman D. 11 HR Trends for 2024: Elevating Work. AIHR, available at: https://www.aihr.com/blog/hr-trends

12. Defitsit kadrov v Rossii i chto budet s rynkom truda v 2024 godu [The Workforce Deficit in Russia and What Will Be With the Labor Market in 2024]. Audit-IT, available at: https://www.audit-it.ru/articles/personnel/

13. Tarasova O. Trendy HR 2024 [HR Trends 2024]. VC.RU, 2024, 9 fevralya, available at: https://vc.ru/hr/1023582-trendy-hr-2024/09/02/2024

14. Tverskoy D. HR-trendy 2023 goda. Agressivnyy khanting, tikhiy naem, defitsit krizis-menedzherov [HR-trends 2023. Aggressive Hunting, Quite Hiring, Deficit of Anti-Crisis Managers]. SBER-Pro, 2023, 31 avgusta, available at: https://sber.pro/digital/publication/hr-trendy-2023-goda/31/08/2023

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.114-119

The author examines transformation of the “climate-nature-society” system (CNSS), identifying potential directions for sustainable development and improving the well-being of the Russian population. In this context, an example of the forestry complex shows the key role of the best available technologies in creating social production, minimizing losses, waste and negative impacts on the environment. It is proven that effective implementation of conceptual platforms within the digital economy depends both on the legislative framework and on national policies on environmental management issues that are consistent with the trend of CNSS stable development.

References:

1. Glaz’ev S.Yu. Rossiyskaya ekonomika v nachale 2020 goda: o glubinnykh prichinakh narastayushchego khaosa i komplekse antikrizisnykh mer [The Russian Economy at the Beginning of 2020: About the Underlying Causes of the Growing chaos and a Set of Anti-crisis Measures]. Rossiyskiy ekonomicheskiy

zhurnal, 2020, no 2, pp. 3–39.

2. Khabibullina Z.R. Tvorcheskiy trud: spetsifika, dinamika razvitiya i kharakteristika sistemnoy transformatsii [Creative Work: Specificity, Dynamics of Development and Characteristics of Systemic Transformation]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoy Rossii, 2020, no 1, pp. 32–40.

3. Bartalev S.A., Stytsenko F.V. Sputnikovaya otsenka gibeli drevostoev ot pozharov po dannym o sezonnom raspredelenii proydennoy ognem ploshchadi [Satellite Assessment of the Death of Tree Stands from Fires Based on Data on the Seasonal Distribution of the Area Covered by Fire]. Lesovedenie, 2021,

no 2, pp. 115–122.

4. Pavlov P.V. Prigranichnaya torgovlya kak chast’ prigranichnogo sotrudnichestva Rossii s inostrannymi gosudarstvami: problemy administrativnopravovogo

regulirovaniya [Cross-border Trade as Part of Cross-border Cooperation Between Russia and Foreign States: Problems of Administrative and Legal Regulation]. Administrativnoe pravo i praktika administrirovaniya, 2013, no 2, pp. 1–71.

5. Ryumina E.V. Vklyuchenie ekologicheskogo faktora v traditsionnye otsenki kachestva zhizni [Inclusion of the Environmental Factor in Traditional Assessments of the Quality of Life]. Ekonomika prirodopol’zovaniya, 2020, no 6, pp. 122–129.

6. Kryazhev A.M., Guseva T.V., Tikhonova I.O., et al. Tsellyulozno-bumazhnoe proizvodstvo: ustoychivoe razvitie i formirovanie ekonomiki zamknutogo tsikla [Pulp and Paper Production: Sustainable Development and the Formation of a Closed-cycle Economy]. Ekologiya i promyshlennost’ Rossii, 2020, vol. 24, no 11, pp. 48–53.

7. Broslavskiy L.I. Rossii nuzhen zakon o vozmeshchenii ekologicheskogo vreda [Russia Needs a Law on Compensation for Environmental Damage]. Ekologicheskoe pravo, 2020, no 3, pp. 37–43.

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.120-125

The article dwells on the change in the market index of “Economic Strategies” (MIES) for the first quarter of 2024. The contribution of demand and supply indicators to the KIES is assessed. Analysis of industrial production is carried out.

References:

1. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe polozhenie Rossii. Yanvar’ — mart 2024 god: Doklad [Socio-Economic Situation in Russia. January – March 2024: Report]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-03-2024.pdf

2. Stsenarnye usloviya funktsionirovaniya ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Federatsii, osnovnye parametry prognoza sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii i prognoziruemye izmeneniya tsen (tarifov) na tovary, uslugi khozyaystvuyushchikh sub”ektov, osushchestvlyayushchikh reguliruemye vidy deyatel’nosti v infrastrukturnom sektore, na 2025 god i na planovyy period 2026 i 2027 godov [Scenario Conditions for Functioning of the Economy of the Russian Federation, the Main Parameters of the Forecast of Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation and Projected Changes in Prices (Tariffs) for Goods and Services of Business Entities Carrying out Regulated Activities in the Infrastructure Sector for 2025 and for the Planning Period of 2026 and 2027]. Ministerstvo ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF, available at: https://economy.gov.ru/material/directions/makroec/prognozy_socialno_ekonomicheskogo_razvitiya/scenarnye_usloviya_funkcionirovaniya_ekonomiki_rf_osnovnye_parametry_prognoza_socialno_ekonomicheskogo_razvitiya_rf_na_2025_god_i_na_planovyy_period_2026_i_2027_godovhtml

3. Poslanie Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii Federal’nomu sobraniyu Rossiyskoy Federatsii 29 fevralya 2024 goda [Address of the President of the Russian Federation to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation on February 29, 2024]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73585

4. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 7 maya 2024 g. “O natsional’nykh tselyakh razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda i na perspektivu do 2036 goda” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of May 7, 2024 “On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period until 2030 and for the Future up to 2036”]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73986

5. Frenkel’ A.A., Tikhomirov B.I., Surkov A.A. 2023 god: ukreplenie gosudarstvennogo suvereniteta i ustoychivosti strategicheskogo razvitiya Rossii v usloviyakh turbulentnosti [2023: Strengthening the State Sovereignty and Sustainability of Russia’s Strategic Development in Conditions of Turbulence].

Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2024, no 1(193), pp. 70–75, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.193.2024.70-75

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.5

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.126-137

In modern conditions the primary tool for attracting qualified specialists, minimizing staff turnover and stabilizing a workforce, maintaining and developing staff’s desire to improve professional knowledge and skills is the system of motivation and stimulation of their work activity. That is why the present article, which dwells on choosing the most suitable system for enterprises and organizations of the defenсe industry, based on specific industry characteristics, seems undoubtedly relevant. In the work: 1) literary sources dealing with the issues of labour stimulation are analyzed and summarized; 2) an analytical study was carried out using real data on dependence of the most important indicator of the production and economic activity – revenue from product sales – on the qualitative professional and age characteristics of the business entities’ personnel; 3) a comparative assessment of the personnel motivation and incentive systems used in developed foreign countries is given (information base, mechanisms for forming personnel remuneration rates, advantages, disadvantages, possible areas of application); 4) a justification is given for the expediency of using the Japanese system of lifelong employment, seniority and organization of groups from enterprises’ employees for searching and resolving the “bottlenecks” in the Russian military-industrial complex as the basic fundamental elements; 5) proposals (a set of organizational and economic measures) were formulated to attract young specialists into defence-industrial complex.

References:

1. Sokolov A.V. Sravnitel’naya otsenka finansovo-ekonomicheskogo polozheniya predpriyatiy oboronnoy promyshlennosti RF [Comparative Assessment of the Financial-Economic Situation of the Defence Industry Enterprises in the Russian Federation]. Novosibirsk, IEOPP SO RAN, 2010, 196 p.

2. Pisareva O.M. Analiz sostoyaniya i kharakteristika potentsiala razvitiya instrumentariya strategicheskogo planirovaniya v usloviyakh tsifrovoy transformatsii ekonomiki i upravleniya [Analysis of the State and Characteristics of the Development Potential of Strategic Planning Tools in the Context of Digital Transformation of Economy and Management]. MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsii. Razvitie), 2018, vol. 9, no 4, pp. 502–529.

3. Shapiro S.A. Teoretiko-metodologicheskie osnovy upravleniya chelovecheskimi resursami v ekonomke Rossiyskoy Federatsii: Monografiya [Theoretical-Methodological Foundations of Human Resource Management in the Economy of the Russian Federation: Monograph]. Moscow, ID “AT i SO”, 2003, 274 p.

4. Kapitanova E.V., Suvalova T.V. Sovremennye tendentsii kadrovogo obespecheniya predpriyatiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii: problemy sistemy podgotovki kadrov i puti resheniya [Modern Trends in Staffing Enterprises of the Russian Military-Industrial Complex: Problems of the Personnel Training System and Solutions]. E-Management, 2021, vol. 4, no 4, pp. 86–96.

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.138-143

The importance of considering this problem is due to the fact that with the beginning of a special military operation, the volume of state defence orders increased, which, in turn, entailed the need for new staff recruitment to enterprises.

However, having switched to an enhanced operating mode, enterprises of the defence-industrial complex faced the acute problem of a qualified personnel shortage. The undertaken analysis showed that unfavourable demographic situation in the country has a significant negative impact on the number of personnel in the labour market: the population under working age is declining, there is an evident decrease in the employees’ number in the age groups of 15-29 years and there is an outflow of young workers from enterprises as well. In addition, a serious problem for domestic enterprises is the low level of labour productivity, which also has a negative impact on solving problems of providing the required production volumes.

The author proposes a possible approach to solving this problem through active implementation of lean production methods at enterprises of the military-industrial complex.

References:

1. Manturov otsenil potrebnosti OPK v 16 000 spetsialistov [Manturov Estimated the Needs of the Defense Industry at 16,000 Specialists]. Vedomosti, 2023,

24 iyulya, available at: https://www.vedomosti.ru/economics/news/2023/07/24/986662-manturov-otsenil-potrebnosti-opk-v-16-000

2. Maksimova E. V boy idut stariki: oboronnye zavody strany ne mogut nabrat’ rabochikh [Old Men go into Battle: the Country’s Defense Factories cannot Recruit Workers]. 2023, 19 yanvarya, available at: https://newizv.ru/news/2023-01-19/v-boy-idut-stariki-oboronnye-zavody-strany-ne-mogut-nabrat-rabochih-394312

3. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 30 dekabrya 2020 g. N 2369 “O gosudarstvennom plane podgotovki kadrov so srednim professional’nym i vysshim obrazovaniem dlya organizatsiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa na 2021–2030 gody” [Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 30, 2020 No. 2369 “On the State Plan for Training Personnel with Secondary Vocational and Higher Education for Organizations of the Military-industrial Complex

for 2021–2030”]. Kodeks, available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/573275758

4. OPK gotovit kadry [The Defense Industry is Preparing Personnel]. PSB. Portal o promyshlennosti i finansakh, 2021, 20 oktyabrya, available at: https://

rustechnology.ru/success-stories/opk-gotovit-kadry/

5. Perechen’ obrazovatel’nykh organizatsiy [List of Educational Organizations]. Federal’nyy kadrovyy tsentr OPK, available at: https://fkc-opk.ru/gosplan/perechen-obrazovatelnyx-organizacij

6. Ignatova O. Rosstat soobshchil o roste chislennosti trudosposobnogo naseleniya [Rosstat Reported an Increase in the Working-age Population]. Rossiyskaya gazeta — Federal’nyy vypusk, 2022, no 93(8741), available at: https://rg.ru/2022/04/27/rosstat-soobshchil-o-roste-chislennosti-trudosposobnogo-naseleniia.html

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.16-27

Chronicles of the trade and economic war (sanctions, restrictions, etc., in fact, attempts to organize an economic, scientific and technical blockade) of the conventionally united West against Russia after 2014 in general and after the beginning of the Limited Military Operation in particular clearly demonstrate that Atlantic opponents didn’t manage to defeat us economically. They don’t understand why that happened… Russia, to the whole world’s surprise, is successfully realizing its economic potential, monetizing it into stability of the political regime and building up a victorious defence potential. What’s the cause of such macroeconomic stability (national strength) of Russia?

References:

1. Isard W. Interregional and Regional Input-Output Analysis: A Model of a Space Economy. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1951, vol. 33, pp. 318–328.

2. Leontief W., Strout A. Multiregional Input-Output Analysis. Structural Interdependence and Economic Development (ed. T. Barna). London, Macmillan (St. Martin’s Press), 1963, pp. 119–149.

3. Koopman R., Wang Z., Wei Shang-Jin. Tracing Value-Added and Double Counting in Gross Exports. NBER Working Paper no 18579, Cambridge, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012.

4. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Sushko E.D. Natsional’naya strategicheskaya sila stran, mezhdunarodnaya torgovlya i ekonomicheskaya uspeshnost’ stran v nestabil’nom mire [National Strategic Power of Countries, International Trade and Economic Success of Countries in the unstable World]. Strategirovanie: teoriya i praktika, 2023, vol. 3, no 3(9), pp. 277–297.

5. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskiy fundament pobedy: strategicheskiy prognoz ustoychivosti ekonomiki Rossii v

usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii,

2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

6. Makarov V.L., Il’in N.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Khabriev B.R. Natsional’naya sila stran mira: otsenka i prognoz [National Strength of the Countries in the World: Evaluation and Forecast]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 6(186), pp. 38–51, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.186.2022.38-51

7. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Loginov E.L. Primenenie ekonomiko-matematicheskikh metodov i modeley optimal’nogo planirovaniya v tsifrovoy ekonomike budushchego (TsEMI AN SSSR i TsEMI RAN: prognosticheskaya interpretatsiya i razvitie nauchnogo naslediya nobelevskikh laureatov L.V. Kantorovicha i V.V. Leont’eva) [Application of Economic-mathematical Methods and Optimal Planning Models in the Digital Economy of the Future (CEMI AS USSR and CEMI RAS: Predictive

Interpretation and Development of the Scientific Heritage of Nobel Laureates L.V. Kantorovich and V.V. Leontief)]. Moscow, Tsentral’nyy ekonomiko-matematicheskiy