The "Economic Strategies" journal

2023 #6 2023 Double Bottom of the Future




Technology of Data Information Space and Improvement of Public Administration

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.62-67

The article examines possibilities of the ontological model and technology of the data information space and the ISIAD software product. This experience can be successfully used in the “Data Economy” national project.

References:

1. Ageev A.I., Kuz’min O.V., Perminova E.A. Informatsionnaya bezopasnost’ avtomatizirovannykh sistemy upravleniya proizvodstvennym i tekhnologicheskimi protsessami ob”ektov kriticheskoy informatsionnoy infrastruktu [Information Security of Automated Control Systems for Production and Technological Processes of Critical Information Infrastructure Facilities]. Ucheb. posobie. Moscow, MNIPU, 2021.

2. Ageev A.I., Bondarik V.N., Ivanova O.D., Kudryavtsev A.V., Loshchinin A.A. Tekhnokraticheskaya kontseptsiya proektov tsifrovoy ekonomiki: sinergiya integratsii sistem i dannykh [The Technocratic Concept of Digital Economy Projects: the Synergy of Integration of Systems and Data]. Mikroekonomika, 2018,

no 5, pp. 14–21.

3. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L., Chinaliev V.U. Tsifrovaya platforma upravleniya nauchno-tekhnologicheskim razvitiem v prostranstve ekonomicheskogo sotrudnichestva [Digital Platform for Managing Scientific and Technological Development within Economic Cooperation Framework].

Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, no 1, pp. 56–69, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.187.2023.56-69

4. Loshchinin A.A., Bondarik V.N., Kudryavtsev A.V. Nekotorye informatsionno-tekhnologicheskie aspekty tsifrovoy ekonomiki [Some Information and Technological Aspects of the Digital Economy]. Mikroekonomika, 2017, no 4, pp. 67–71.

5. Ageev A.I., Radina V.Ya. Metodika tsifrovoy ekonomiki v chasti upravleniya i kontrol’noy deyatel’nosti v real’nom sektore ekonomiki [Methods of Digital Economy in Terms of Management and Control Activities in the Real Economy]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2019, no 3, pp. 44–56, DOI: 10.33917/es-3.161.2019.44-56

6. Loshchinin A.A. Informatizatsiya v administrativnykh sistemakh [Informatization in Administrative Systems]. Moscow, 1999.

7. Loshchinin A.A. Bol’shaya informatizatsiya malykh territoriy [Big Informatization of small Territories]. Informatsionnye tekhnologii territorial’nogoupravleniya, 2002, no 36.

8. Loshchinin A.A. Tekhnologii informatizatsii administrativnykh organov territoriy [Technologies for Informatization of Administrative bodies of Territories].

Informatika i vychislitel’naya tekhnika, 1997, no 4, pp. 31–35.

9. Loshchinin A.A. Informatsionnye modeli territorial’nykh administrativnykh system [Information Models of Territorial Administrative Systems]. Informatsionnye tekhnologii v strukturakh gosudarstvennoy sluzhby, Moscow, RAGS, 1999.

10. Loshchinin A.A. Osnovy prikladnoy biznes-informatiki [Fundamentals of applied Business Informatics]. Saransk, 2017, 422 p.

11. Loshchinin A.A. CASE — sreda dlya informatizatsii administrativnykh sistem na osnove IPD-tekhnologii [CASE is an Environment for Informatization of Administrative Systems based on IPD technology]. Informatsionnye tekhnologii v strukturakh gosudarstvennoy sluzhby, Moscow, RAG S, 2001.

Cognitive Collective Convergent Engineering. Part II

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.52-61

The article presents an analysis of the fundamental problems of civilizational transit with digital transformation of Industry 4.0 and forms the requirements for methodology and technologies for reassembling transdisciplinary engineering knowledge. The authors propose alternative solutions and counterintuitive approaches to transform reindustrialization based on innovative technologies of cognitive collective convergent engineering – C3 engineering, graph-centric platforms of digital genesis, tools, models and systems of collective intellectual work. The new global trend, proposed by Russia, represents the closing technologies of C3 engineering, which have a colossal socio-political resource of ensuring national sovereignty and leadership with the potential for global technological accession.

References:

5. Budanov V.G. Metodologiya sinergetiki v postneklassicheskoi nauke i v obrazovanii [Methodology of Synergetics in Post-non-classical Science and Education]. Izd. 4-e, dop. Moscow, LENAND, 2017, 272 p.

6. Budanov V.G. Obobshchennaya nauchnaya ratsional’nost’: istoki, struktura, perspektivy v tsifrovuyu epokhu: Antropomernost’ kak vyzov i otvet sovremennosti: Kollektivnaya monografiya [Generalized Scientific Rationality: Origins, Structure, Prospects in the Digital Age: Anthropomension as a Challenge and Response of Modernity: Collective Monograph]. Otv. red. V.G. Budanov. Kursk, Universitetskaya kniga, 2022, pp. 44–62.

7. #Gipergraf:Platforma, RKD [#Hypergraph:Platform, RKD]. Moscow, OOO “GiperGrafGrupp”, 2021.

8. Protocol of demonstration of the control system to representatives of the Kalashnikov Concern [Electronic resource], available at: https://7055ce99-63ff-

424d-ab7e-fe27c9fefd34.usrfiles.com/ugd/7055ce_a0898b7345e94386819200c0d4110432.pdf

9. Taxonomic analysis of mandatory reporting of credit organizations of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation [Electronic resource], available at: https://www.grafxm.ru/post/modernizaciya-sistemy-sbora-otchetnosti-kreditnyh-organizacij-v-cb-rf

10. NATO RTO protocols. NATO-RUSSIAN working platform on defense R&T co-operation [Electronic resource], available at: https://7055ce99-63ff-424dab7e-

fe27c9fefd34.usrfiles.com/ugd/7055ce_24f228929de04862aecb27ac452f559c.pdf

11. Expertise and reviews [Electronic resource]. M.: HyperGraphGroup LLC, 2021. URL: ht tps://www.gipergraf.ru/

Isn’t it Time to “Check the Boxes” of What is Permitted?

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.46-51

The problem of the economic policies ontology is examined. Paradigms define practices and scenarios for the future. Crisis of the “mainstream” and the polymorphic structure of the world economy imply an intensive search for new theoretical and practical solutions.

References:

1. Smolyan G.L. Refleksivnoe upravlenie — tekhnologiya prinyatiya manipulyativnykh resheniy [Reflexive Management — Technology for Making Manipulative Decisions]. Trudy ISA RAN, 2013, vol. 63, no 2. Tsentr gumanitarnykh tekhnologiy, 2016, 25 sentyabrya, available at: https://gtmarket.ru/library/articles/7309

2. Lepsky Vladimir E. Reflexive Control in Multi-Subjective and Multi-Agent Systems. Proceedigs of the Workshop on Multi-Reflexive Models of Agent Behavior. ARL-SR-64, May 1999, pp. 111–117.

3. Ageev A.I., Kuroedov B.V., Met’yuz R., Sandarov O.S. Metodologiya strategicheskoy matritsy [Strategic Matrix Methodology]. Monografiya. Moscow, INES, 2004, 152 p. (Strategicheskoe prevoskhodstvo. Seriya MLSU)

4. Global’nyy reyting integral’noy moshchi 100 stran: Doklad-2012 [Global Rating of Integral Power of 100 Countries: Report 2012]. 3-e izd., pererab. i dop. Moscow, Mezhdunarodnaya akademiya issledovaniy budushchego, Institut ekonomicheskikh strategiy, 2012, 108 p.

5. Strategiya natsional’noy bezopasnosti SShA 2022 [US National Security Strategy 2022]. Rossiyskiy pravovoy portal: Biblioteka Pashkova. 2011. 16 marta.

URL: https://constitutions.ru/?p=5292

6. Ponomarev V.P. Polimorfnaya gamma-shkala ekonomicheskogo razvitiya [Polymorphic Gamma-Scale of Economic Development]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 1, pp. 106–111, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.181.2022.106-111

7. Mityaev D.A. O dinamike samorazrusheniya mirovoy finansovoy sistemy (stsenarii i strategii). Vozmozhnosti adaptatsii i vybor strategii dlya Rossii: Stsenarno-igrovoy doklad [On the Dynamics of Self-Destruction of the Global Financial System (Scenarios and Strategies). Adaptation Possibilities and Choice of Strategy for Russia: Scenario-Game Report]. Moscow, INES, 2009, 61 p.

8. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. New Deal — 2008 — “novaya sdacha”. Bludnye ucheniki Franklina Ruzvel’ta [New Deal — 2008 — “New Change”. Franklin Roosevelt’s Prodigal Disciples]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2009, vol. 11, no 2, pp. 31–36.

Russia under Collective Western Sanctions: Crisis Trends

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.40-45

The reasons for Russia’s unique success in relieving the sanctions shocks of 2022 and signs of its plunge into prolonged sanctions stress from 2023 are described. It is shown that Russia has exhausted the advantages of a “big country” in increasing macro-financial stability, and its model of recovery growth creates imbalances that aggravate sanctions deformations.

References:

1. Hufbauer G.C., Schott J.J., Elliott K.A. Economic sanctions reconsidered. Washington, DC, Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2009.

2. Morgan T.C., Syropoulos C., Yotov Y.V. Economic sanctions: Evolution, consequences, and challenges. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2023. Vol. 37. No. 1. P. 3–29.

3. Mulder N. The economic weapon: The rise of sanctions as a tool of modern war. New Haven, Yale University Press, 2022.

4. Felbermayr G., Morgan T.C., Syropoulos C., Yotov Y.V. Understanding economic sanctions: Interdisciplinary perspectives on theory and evidence. European Economic Review, 2021, vol. 135, no 1, p. 103720.

5. Chowdhry S., Hinz J., Kamin K., Wanner J. Brothers in arms: The value of coalitions in sanctions regimes. Kiel Working Papers, 2022, no 2234.

6. Russia Sanctions Dashboard. Castellum.AI, available at: https://www.castellum.ai/russia-sanctions-dashboard

7. Smorodinskaya N.V., Katukov D.D. Rossiya v usloviyakh sanktsii: predely adaptatsii [Russia under Sanctions: Limits of Adaptation]. Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki RAN, 2022, no 6, pp. 52–67.

8. Sal’nikov V.A., Galimov D.I., Gnidchenko A.A. O promezhutochnykh itogakh razvitiya promyshlennosti s nachala 2022 g.: proizvodstvo i investitsii [On the Interim Results of Industrial Development since the Beginning of 2022: Production and Investment]. Trinadtsat’ tezisov ob ekonomike, 2023, no 3.

9. Bank Rossii. O chem govoryat trendy [Bank of Russia. What are the trends saying?]. Byulleten’ Departamenta issledovanii i prognozirovaniya, 2023, no 5.

10. Russia Hikes Interest Rates Despite World’s Biggest Currency Surge. Bloomberg, available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-27/

russia-hikes-rate-sharply-despite-world-s-biggest-currency-surge

11. Gutmann J., Neuenkirch M., Neumeier F. The economic effects of international sanctions: An event study. Journal of Comparative Economics, 2023, vol. 180, pp. 1–18.

Transformation of Economic Globalization in the Context of the Development of the World Community Along the Path of Multipolarity

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.16-29

The development of the world economy in modern conditions is being transformed under the influence of a number of factors, which are both man-made and caused by the imperfection of the system of economic relations that have developed as a result of the absolute denial of state regulation and attempts to replace it with supranational rules. The basic determinants were the recommendations of the Washington Consensus (1992), aimed at accelerating the transition to a market economy of transformational economies after the collapse of the USSR. In the early 2000s, a similar approach was extended to all developing economies. This made it possible to accelerate the process of economic globalization, which was fundamentally based on the internationalization of reproductive value chains. The development of the world community along the path of polycentrism determines the transformation of economic globalization in terms of both driving forces and regional localization.

The purpose of this article is to analyze the transformation of economic globalization in the context of the transition from an American-centric model of the world economy to a multipolar structure of the world community.

References:

1. Anan’in O., Khaitkulov R., Shestakov D. Vashingtonskiy konsensus: peyzazh posle bitv [Washington Consensus: Landscape after the Battles]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya, 2010, no 12, pp. 15–27, available at: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2010-12-15-27

2. A world of debt. A growing burden to global prosperit y 2023. Unctad, available at: https://unctad.org/publication/world-of-debt

3. Struktura VVP SShA po sektoram ekonomiki v 1975–2010 godakh [Structure of US GDP by Economic Sector in 1975–2010]. Politicheskiy atlas sovremennosti, available at: http://www.hyno.ru/tom3/1089.html

4. Tessa Smith.Dying Cities: 10 Big U.S. Cities That Are Shrinking at an Alarming Rate. MSN, available at: https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/

dying-cities-10-big-u-s-cities-that-are-shrinking-at-an-alarming-rate/ss-AA1eGfQ

5. Countries in the world by population. Worldometers, 2023. URL: https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/

6. Perskaya V.V., Eskindarov M.A. Politsentrizm [Polycentrism]. Moscow, KURS, 2022, 288 p.

7. Human Development Report 2021–2022. Brookings, November 4, 2022, available at: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/future-development/2022/11/04/human-development-in-an-age-of-uncertainty/?utm_campaign=Global Economy

8. Global Value Chains. The World Bank, available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/global-value-chains

9. Giorgia Giovannetti, Enrico Marvasi & Giorgio Ricchiuti. The Future of Global Value Chains and International Trade: An EU Perspective. Italian Economic Journal, 2023, available at: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40797-023-00252-4

10. OESR ozhidaet rosta mirovogo VVP v 2023 godu na 3% [The OECD Expects Global GDP to Grow by 3% in 2023]. Interfax.ru, available at: https://www.interfax.ru/busness/921478

Climate Change and Energy Transition

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.16-29

The author shows that global warming is determined not by human activity, but by natural phenomena – primarily by a decrease in the inclination angle of the Earth’s rotation axis, changing the insolation of the polar/equatorial regions and, as a consequence, the intensity of meridional atmospheric-oceanic heat and mass transfer. The article presents results of measurements of the neutrino flux from the decay of the potassium-40 isotope, which confirmed the potassium content predicted by the theory of a hydrogen Earth, the flux of radiogenic heat from which must be taken into account in climate calculations. The article presents the results of experimental studies of hydrogen degassing from the depths of the Earth – the cause of the destruction of atmospheric ozone, the content of which in turn determines the temperature and pressure of the surface air. Spatial and temporal correlations of hydrogen degassing and ozone destruction, as well as the influence of gravitational forces of the Moon and the Sun on degassing, make it possible for the first time to make long-term forecasts of meteorological changes and the occurrence of climate disasters. The author substantiates the need for changes in climate and energy policy.

References:

1. Sherstyukov B.G. Global’noe poteplenie i ego vozmozhnye prichiny [Global Warming and its Possible Reasons]. Gidrometeorologiya i ekologiya, 2023, no 70, pp. 7–37, DOI: 10.33933/2713-3001-2023-70-7-37

2. Syvorotkin V.L. Neskonchaemaya tsep’ prestuplenii Monreal’skogo protokola [Never-Ending Chain of the Montreal Protocol Crimes]. IA Regnum, 2017, available at: https://regnum-ru.turbopages.org/regnum.ru/s/news/2302128.html

3. Callendar G.S. The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1938, vol. 64, no 275, pp. 223–240.

4. Keeling C.D. The Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere. Tellus, 1960.

5. Schneider S.H., Azar C. Are Uncertainties in Climate and Energy Systems a Justification for Stronger Near-term Mitigation Policies? In Erlich, E. (ed.), Proceedings of the Pew Center Workshop on The Timing of Climate Change Policies. 2001. Washington D.C., 11, 12 October 2001, pp. 85–136, available at:

https://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/timingazarschneide.pdf

6. Schneider S H. The greenhouse effect: Science and policy. Science, 1989, vol. 243, pp. 771–781.

7. Schneide S.H. News Plays Fast and Loose With the Facts. Editorial. Detroit News, 1989, 5 December. 10A, available at: https://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/DetroitNews.pdf

8. Smirnov B.M. Fizika global’noi atmosfery. Parnikovyi effekt, atmosfernoe elektrichestvo, evolyutsiya klimata [Physics of the Global Atmosphere. Greenhouse Effect, Atmospheric Electricity, Climate Evolution]. Dolgoprudnyi, Intellekt, 2017, 256 p.

9. Demirchyan K.S., Kondrat’ev K.Ya., Demirchyan K.K. Global’noe poteplenie i “politika” ego predotvrashcheniya [Global Warming and the “Policy” of its Prevention]. Biosfera, 2010, vol. 2, no 4, pp. 488–502.

Russian Federation in the Geo-Economic Duel of the 21st Century

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.6-15

Today there is virtually no doubt that the 21st century will become a time of struggle for global economic leadership. The USA and China have already entered into this intense competition. Russia is also demonstrating signs of geopolitical subjectivity. However, its economic potential is still significantly lower than that of both the USA and China. Therefore, the present article raises the question of the factors for building up such potential in accordance with current technological challenges. The authors formulate and justify the factors for spreading promising general-purpose technologies in the national economy. They provide an assessment of the presence and scale of each factor’s influence in the modern Russian economy, and also outline ways for strengthening such influence in order to create the most favourable conditions for introduction and scaling of advanced technologies in the industrial sector of the Russian Federation.

References:

1. Tolkachev S.A., Teplyakov A.Yu. Tekhnologicheskie i regulyatornye tsikly v mirokhozyaystvennom razvitii: istoriko-ekonomicheskaya retrospektiva [Technological and Regulatory Cycles in World Economic Development: Historical and Economic Retrospective]. Terra Economicus, 2022, vol 20, no 3, pp. 72–86.

2. Tolkachev S.A., Teplyakov A.Yu. Tekhnologicheskiy megatsikl i tekhnologicheskie prognozy [Technological Megacycle and Technological Forecasts]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 6(186), pp. 66–75, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.186.2022.66-75

3. Marks K. Kapital. Kritika politicheskoy ekonomii [Capital. Criticism of Political Economy]. Marxists.org, vol. 1, available at: https://www.marxists.org/russkij/marx/1867/capital_vol1/59.htm

4. Khiks Dzh. Teoriya ekonomicheskoy istorii [Theory of Economic History]. Per. s angl. pod obshch. red. R.M. Nureeva. Moscow, 2003.

5. Veduta E. Krovavoe shestvie zolotogo standarta k Pervoy mirovoy voyne. Chast’ IV [Bloody March of the Gold Standard to the First World War. Part IV]. REGNUM, 2019, 29 aprelya, available at: https://regnum.ru/article/2620925

6. Nechvolodov A.V. Ot razoreniya k dostatku [From Ruin to Prosperity]. Saint Petersburg, Tipografiya shtaba voysk Gvardii i Peterburgskogo voennogo okruga,1906.

7. Katasonov V. K ocherednomu yubileyu amerikanskogo Tsentrobanka [To the Next Anniversary of the American Central Bank]. Fond strategicheskoy kul’tury, 2023, 4 yanvarya, available at: https://fondsk.ru/news/2023/01/04/k-ocherednomu-jubileju-amerikanskogo-centrobanka.html

8. Neftedollary protiv gazorubley [Petrodollars Versus Gas Rubles]. Kommersant”, 2022, 15 aprelya, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5305376

9. Berdyshev A.V., Sopov D.K. Issledovanie dinamiki koeffitsienta monetizatsii ekonomiki Rossii i ego vliyaniya na makroekonomicheskie pokazateli [Study of the

Dynamics of the Monetization Coefficient of the Russian Economy and Its Influence on Macroeconomic Indicators]. Vestnik universiteta, 2022, no 9, pp. 145–152.