Security Risks and Concerns in Indo-Pacific Reg

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.32-37

The authors investigated the security situation (military, economic, energy, environmental, food, etc.) in the Indo-Pacific region using international expert surveys in the form of interviews in 16 countries, using a historical approach to show the situation in dynamics, comparative analysis of statistical data, as well as content analysis of scientific literature, publications in the media and in-depth analysis of texts using the Sorbonne method. The analytical materials prepared by the authors are confirmed by empirical data obtained as part of the research work of the international project “Dialogue Partnership as a factor of stability and integration” in 16 Eastern countries: Brunei, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, China, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, RF, Singapore, the USA, Thailand, Philippines, South Korea and Japan, in the pre- and post-ovoid period.

References:

1. Kompleksnaya kharakteristika situatsii v ATR [A Comprehensive Description of the Situation in the Asia-Pacific Region]. Moscow, Academia, 2016, 340 p.

2. ATR glazami ekspertov (mezhdunarodnaya ekspertiza 2005–2019 gg.) [The Asia-Pacific Region Through the Eyes of Experts (International Expertise 2005–2019)]. Moscow, Academia, 2019, 350 p.

3. Masasi Murano, Ankito Panda i Dzhenni Taun. Novaya raketnaya era v Indo-Tikhookeanskom regione [A New Missile Era in the Indo-Pacific Region]. Moskovskiy Tsentr Karnegi, available at: https://gatotca.oyi.my.id/find/a-new-missile-age-in-the-indopacific-carnegie-endowment-for

4. Sukin L. Kogda yadernoe prevoskhodstvo perestaet byt’ prevoskhodstvom: Peresmotr yadernogo balansa sil [When Nuclear Superiority Ceases to be Superiority: A Revision of the Nuclear Balance of Power]. Moskovskiy Tsentr Karnegi, available at: https://mail.yandex.ru/?uid=4361772#message/184366109745546487

5. Rybin A. NYT: Veroyatnost’ voyny v Indo-Tikhookeanskom regione seychas samaya vysokaya so Vtoroy mirovoy [The Probability of War in the Indo-Pacific Region is Now the Highest Since World War II]. Rossiyskaya gazeta, 2023, 1 marta, available at: https://rg.ru/2023/03/01/nyt-veroiatnost-vojny-v-indo-tihookeanskom-regionesejchas-

samaia-vysokaia-so-vtoroj-mirovoj.html

6. Balandin R. Syurpriz ot Dzho Baydena: pochemu SShA nachali postavlyat’ oruzhie Tayvanyu po “ukrainskoy” skheme? [Surprise From Joe Biden: Why Did the United

States Start Supplying Weapons to Taiwan According to the “Ukrainian” Scheme?]. TASS, 2023, 15 avgusta, available at: https://tass.ru/opinions/18501723

7. Delegatsiya kongressmenov SShA pribyla na Tayvan’ [A Delegation of US Congressmen Arrived in Taiwan]. RIA Novosti, 2022, 14 avgusta, available at: https://ria.ru/20220814/tayvan-1809515164.html

8. 900 voennykh baz SShA po vsemu miru. V kakikh stranakh ikh bol’she vsego? [900 US Military Bases Around the World. Which Countries Have the Most of Them?].

Dzen, 2023, 11 yanvarya, available at: https://dzen.ru/a/Y76U9T_c6WqJsHnc

9. Vysotskiy V.I. Neft’ i gaz. Zapasy. Dobycha. Potreblenie, eksport i import: Informatsionnyy obzor [Oil and Gas. Stocks. Extraction. Consumption, Export and Import. (Information Overview)]. Moscow, Rosgeologiya. VNIIZARUBEZhGEOLOGIYA, 2022, 40 p.

Isn’t it Time to “Check the Boxes” of What is Permitted? Part III

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.24-31

The problem of the economic policies ontology is examined. Paradigms define practices and scenarios for the future.

Crisis of the “mainstream” and the polymorphic structure of the world economy imply an intensive search for new theoretical and practical solutions.

References:

  1. Rosstat [Website], available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/24_18-02-2022.htm

Role of BRICS in the World Economy Development

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.16-23

The authors propose a vector for developing BRICS as an operator of an intercountry digital platform complex (IDPC), within the framework of which international economic transactions are accelerated, simplified and cheapened. Simplification and acceleration occur due to the fact that the documents, required for transaction, are prepared by ICPC algorithms in accordance with the current legislation of the countries and international standards. Cost reduction is achieved by reducing transaction costs, international multilateral clearing, optimizing logistics costs, introducing an internal electronic platform currency for mutual settlements, etc. In this case BRICS, receiving a commission of about 0.5% from each transaction, becomes independent of the budgets of participating countries and a self-sustaining international organization with significant influence in the field of international economic cooperation, including performing the international arbitration functions.

References:

1. Oleskin A.V. Setevoe obshchestvo: ego neobkhodimost’ i vozmozhnye strategii postroeniya [Network Society: Its Necessity and Possible Strategies for its Construction]. Moscow, URSS, 2016.

2. Budanov V.G. Metafizika, ontologii i stsenarii bol’shogo antropologicheskogo perekhoda: Nauka i fenomen cheloveka v epokhu tsivilizatsionnogo Makrosdviga [Metaphysics, Ontologies and Scenarios of the Great Anthropological Transition: Science and Phenomenon of a Man in the Era of Civilizational Macroshift]. Moscow, Institut obshchegumanitarnykh issledovaniy, 2023, 748 p.

3. Oleskin A.V. Detsentralizovannaya setevaya organizatsiya nauchnogo soobshchestva. Perspektivy i problem [Decentralized Network Organization of the Scientific Community. Prospects and Challenges]. Moscow, URSS, 2021.

4. Shokhov A.S. Rol’ Rossii v konstruirovanii mirovoy ekonomiki XXI veka: The New World Economy [Russia’s Role in Designing the World Economy of the 21st Century: The New World Economy]. Artificial societies. 2023. Vol. 18. Iss. 3. URL: https://artsoc.jes.su/s207751800026948-1-1

Methodological Approaches to Studying the Competitive Potential of the Mechanical Engineering Complex of the Republic of Belarus

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.36-41

In modern economic conditions, the study of competitive potential of the machine-building complex of the Republic of Belarus allows us to assess the prospects for growth of the potential share of domestic producers in foreign markets, increase the share of high-tech exports, as well as to elaborate a strategy for developing mechanical engineering complex taking into account micro- and macroenvironmental factors. To achieve the objectives, the authors propose methodological approaches to studying the competitive potential of the machine-building complex of the Republic of Belarus, the peculiarity of which is the optimal combination of theoretical and methodological tools for analyzing competitiveness based on domestic and foreign experience.

References:

1. Bakirova E.Yu. Teoreticheskie osnovy upravleniya razvitiem proizvodstva v regione [Theoretical Basis for Managing Production Development in the Region]. Obshchestvo: politika, ekonomika, parvo, 2014, no 1, pp. 82–85.

2. Diagramma Isikavy kak metod analiza problem kompanii [Ishikawa Diagram as a Method for Analyzing Company Problems], available at: https:// cyberleninka.ru/article/n/diagramma-isikavy-kak-metod-analiza-problem-kompanii

3. List of exporters for the selected product. ITC, available at: https://www.trademap.org/Country_SelProduct_TS

Potential for Nuclear Energy Development in Uzbekistan

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.26-35

The article examines the prospects for hydrocarbon, renewable and nuclear energy in Uzbekistan. Results of forecasting the dynamics of oil, gas and uranium production until the middle of the 21st century and then are presented. The authors substantiate the conclusion that nuclear generation, having economic and environmental advantages, is competitive in the long term only if two-component nuclear energy is developed due to the exhaustibility of uranium in Uzbekistan.

References:

1. GDP per capita (current US$) — Uzbekistan. The World Bank Data, available at: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations = UZ

2. The World Factbook — Uzbekistan. CIA. URL: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/uzbekistan/

3. Muinov D.A., Kostyuchenko Z.M. Strategicheskie napravleniya razvitiya promyshlennosti Uzbekistana na perspektivu [Strategic Directions of the Industry Development in Uzbekistan for the Future]. Ekonomika: analizy i prognozy, 2019, no 1, pp. 63–68.

4. Otkrytye dannye — Promyshlennost’ [Open Data – Industry]. Agentstvo statistiki pri Prezidente Respubliki Uzbekistan, available at: https://stat.uz/ru/ofitsialnaya-statistika/industry

5. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2022. Uckfield, Pureprint Group Ltd., 2022, 60 p.

6. Uranium in Uzbekistan. WNA, available at: https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-t-z/uzbekistan.aspx

7. Data and Statistics. IEA, available at: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-browser?country = UZBEKISTAN

8. Kharitonov V.V., Ul’yanin Yu.A., Sliva D.E. Analiticheskoe modelirovanie dinamiki ischerpaniya nevozobnovlyaemykh traditsionnykh energeticheskikh resursov [Analytical Modeling of the Depletion Dynamics for Non-Renewable Traditional Energy Resources]. Vestnik NIYaU MIFI, 2019, vol. 8, no 3, pp. 298–307.

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on-investment.aspx

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sector-masterplan-commits-to-clean-energy

15. Mineral Requirements for Electricity Generation. World Nuclear Association, available at: https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/energy-and-theenvironment/

Desperate Importance of Nuclear Renaissance for the Future of Japan

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.18-25

Article explains current status of the Japanese nuclear industry as for mid 2023. It unveils political and economic factors and directions of its renaissance 12 year after the Fukushima Dai-Ichi NPP disaster in 2011. The contradiction of this process and the declared by the Japanese government Green Transformation (GX) initiative is underlined. Article lists limits of political, economic, technological and social nature which will define the actual success of the proposed nuclear program. Creation of the industrial and technological as well as political and social base of the fusion energy and fusion manufacturing industries is considered as the strategic reason for pushing the nuclear renaissance through these limits, as the way to the global leadership and domination of the Japanese ‘Society 5.0’. Special attention is paid to the strong will of the Japanese government to pragmatically sacrifices democratic values, concentrate all available resources, and set ambitious targets to win in this sumo fight and be first to build ‘thermonuclear Japan’. Also the specific side of the nuclear energy development — building up the Japanese nuclear weapon potential — is considered as the way to mitigate both geo- and technopolitical risks.

References:

1. G7 Hiroshima Leaders’ Communiqué [Website]. 2023, May, 20, available at: https://www.g7hiroshima.go.jp/documents/pdf/Leaders_Communique_01_en.pdf

2. Japan takes the lead in collaboration on the global energy transition. (Paid for and created by Government of Japan). Reuters Plus, available at: https://www.reuters.com/plus/japan-takes-the-lead-in-collaboration-on-the-global-energy-transition

3. Сarbon neutrality. Global Issues. Government of Japan [Website], available at: https://www.japan.go.jp/global_issues/carbon_neutrality/index.html

4. Overview of the Japanese Green Transformation (GX). GR Japan [Website]. 2023, January, available at: https://grjapan.com/sites/default/files/content/

articles/files/gr_japan_overview_of_gx_plans_january_2023.pdf

5. Towards Green Transformation (GX). Main points. (Provisional translation). Keidanren [Website]. 2022, May, 17, available at: https://www.keidanren.or.jp/en/policy/2022/043_point.pdf

6. Kishida eyes nuclear plant restart in green transformation push. The Japan Times, 2022, July, 28, available at: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/07/28/business/koichi-hagiuda-green-minister-post/

7. Innovatsionnaya strategiya termoyadernoy energetiki [Innovative strategy for fusion energy]. Kabinet ministrov Yaponii, 2023, 14 aprelya, available at:

https://www8.cao.go.jp/cstp/fusion/fusion_senryaku.pdf

8. Integrated Innovation Strategy. Cabinet of Japan, 2022. June, 3, available at: https://www8.cao.go.jp/cstp/english/strategy_2022.pdf

9. Outline of Strategic Energy Plan. Agency for Natural Resources and Energy of Japan, 2021, October, available at: https://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/en/category/others/basic_plan/pdf/6th_outline.pdf

Isn’t it Time to “Check the Boxes” of What is Permitted? Part II

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.12-17

The problem of the economic policies ontology is examined. Paradigms define practices and scenarios for the future.

Crisis of the “mainstream” and the polymorphic structure of the world economy imply an intensive search for new theoretical and practical solutions.

References:

[1–8] in № 6(192)/2023, p. 51.

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Problemy tsifrovoy real’nosti (2–3 fevralya 2023 g., Moskva) [The Woven World: Russian Report to the Club of Rome: Designing the Future. Problems of digital reality (February 2–3, 2023, Moscow)]. Pod red. G.G. Malinetskogo. Moscow, IPM im. M.V. Keldysha, 2023, 360 p., pp. 97–120.

18. Ageev A.I. Spletennyy mir: global’nye vyzovy I sverkhvyzovy: Ekonomika Rossii i mira v epokhu smeny mirokhozyaystvennykh ukladov: teoriya, metodologiya, praktika: Sb. tezisov dokladov uchastnikov XV Pushchinskogo simpoziuma po evolyutsionnoy ekonomike [The Intertwined World: Global

Challenges and Super-challenges: The Economy of Russia and the World in the Era of Changing World Economic Structures: Theory, Methodology, Practice: Sat. abstracts of reports of participants of the XV Pushchino Symposium on Evolutionary Economics]. Moscow, IE RAN, 2023, 170 p., pp. 93–95.

19. Ageev A.I., Gromov V.A., Kamionskiy S.A., Pereslegin S.B., et al. Spletennyy mir: koshka perevernulas’: Doklad Rimskomu klubu: Rezyume doklada [The Intertwined World: The Cat Turned Over: Report to the Club of Rome: Summary of the Report]. Moscow, MNIIPU, 2023, 52 p.