Approaches to Predicting Technology Evolution

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.199.2025.66-73

The article examines the change in ideas about technology from 1772, when Johann Beckmann introduced the term “technology” into scientific use, to the present day. A modern approach to forecasting the technology evolution as a certain implementation of a complex self-developing system is proposed. Comparative analysis of technological and biological evolution is carried out. The ar ticle examines a systemic approach to expert forecasting technology as a separate modern direction, within the framework of which the author proposes its hypershell and dwells on the systemic constituent elements of this shell. Eight directions for future research in the field of technology forecasting are examined.

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