Lessons of Devaluation

#5. To Understand. To Prevent. To Overcome
Lessons of Devaluation

The article shows the consequences of the RF Central Bank current monetary policy, analyzes its theoretical prerequisites and the results of its application in practice. In particular, the authors consider the differences between the inflation targeting monetary policy, which is carried out in Russia, and the experience of its application in the EU and the USA. Particular attention is paid to the Central Bank activities during devaluation in 2014 – 2015, immediate consequences for the various sectors of the Russian economy of the measures taken are analyzed in detail. The authors also propose fundamentally different approach to pursuing this policy, necessary to overcome negative results of the previous actions of the Bank of Russia. These steps mentioned in the article imply introduction of a new emission model, transformation of the Russian ruble in the world currency, increasing stability of its exchange rate.

Monetary Policy as National Security Factor

#4. The Square of Transformation
Monetary Policy as National Security Factor

The article presents new approaches to foreign exchange and monetary policy required for progressive changes in the economy. It examines the features of the foreign exchange market formation in terms of exchange rate volatility, ruble depreciation, interest rate instability. The paper analyses advantages and disadvantages of weak and strong ruble, both in terms of the Russian economy development and in geo-economic context.

Oil Prices Forecast for the Period from May 2014 to December 2015

#3. Countdown
Oil Prices Forecast for the Period from May 2014 to December 2015

Oil prices forecast for the period from May 2014 to December 2015, prepared by the Institute of Energy Strategy in collaboration with the Institute for Economic Strategies based on neural model taking into account the experience of the world oil market functioning during the last decades.

The Second Wave of 2012 – 2013 crisis, or System errors in Macroeconomic Policy of Ukraine and Russia

#8. The Repertoire of Domination
The Second Wave of 2012 – 2013 crisis, or System errors in Macroeconomic Policy of Ukraine and Russia

The economic crisis of 2009 – 2014 in Russia and Ukraine is not a result of the global financial crisis impact. The continuing deterioration of the Ukraine and Russia’s economies is caused primarily by inadequate macroeconomic policy, which cannot be optimal due to institutional character of its origin.

The Second Wave of 2012 – 2013 Crisis, or System Errors in Macroeconomic Policy of Ukraine and Russia

#7. Pandora’s Deceit
The Second Wave of 2012 – 2013 Crisis, or System Errors in Macroeconomic Policy of Ukraine and Russia

The economic crisis of 2009 – 2014 in Russia and Ukraine is not a result of the global financial crisis impact. The continuing deterioration of the Ukraine and Russia’s economies is caused primarily by inadequate macroeconomic policy, which cannot be optimal due to institutional character of its origin.

Forming Current Macroeconomic Policies Subject to Expectations (by the Example of the U.S. Federal Reserve System)

#2. The Ice Age

The crisis has shown that government together with the central bank can secure financial market stabilization by allocating additional funds to credit institutions for increasing risk reserves and mitigating effects of “toxic” assets accumulation.