On Russia’s Long-Term Economic Strategy

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.70-77

Overcoming the main problems of the Russian economy based on domestic demand and potential for the internal development will require a significant change in its structural proportions. Necessary transformation, spurred by defence needs, is already underway with results surprising the West, which had hoped that unprecedented economic sanctions would break Russia’s resistance to its dictates. Moreover, the comprehensive aggression of the West against Russia seems to be backfiring and, instead of destroying it, contributes to its strengthening, creating conditions for a powerful economic breakthrough of the Russian state.

References:

1. Putin: Rossiya nakhoditsya v avangarde sozdaniya spravedlivogo miroustroystva [Putin: Russia is at the Forefront of Creating a Fair World Order]. RIA Novosti, 2023, 28 noyabrya, available at: https://ria.ru/20231128/putin-1912427138.html?ysclid=lpm3g5c34f738783092

2. Reddaway P., Glinsky D. The Tragedy of Russia’s Reforms. Market Bolshevism against Democracy. Washington, 2001.

3. “Ushcherb ot kapitalizma za 30 let okazalsya bol’she ushcherba ot Gitlera v Velikuyu Otechestvennuyu”: eksperty rasskazali, kak zhila by segodnya Rossiya, esli by ne raspalsya SSSR [“Damage from Capitalism in 30 Years Turned out to be Greater than the Damage from Hitler During the Great Patriotic War”: Experts Told How Russia Would Live Today if the USSR had not Collapsed]. Utrenniy Yug, 2023, 4 oktyabrya, available at: https://dzen.ru/a/ZR2QIZHw-xOJYg8D

4. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 16 avgusta 2003 g. N 1163-r “Programma sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na srednesrochnuyu perspektivu (2003–2005 gody)” [Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of August 16, 2003 No. 1163-r “Program of Socio-

Economic Development of the Russian Federation for the Medium Term (2003–2005)”]. Kodeks, available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/901871783

5. Gil’manova Elena. Putin zayavil, chto Rossiya dolzhna stroit’ sotsial’noe gosudarstvo [Putin Declared that Russia Must Build a Social State]. Komsomol’skaya pravda, 2021, 21 oktyabrya, available at: https://www.kp.ru/online/news/4487099/?ysclid=lpnvdhmod8305588273

6. Nekipelov A.D. Vybor ekonomicheskoy strategii. Problema individual’nykh i obshchestvennykh predpochteniy Rossii i puti razvitiya Rossii [Choosing an Economic Strategy. The Problem of Individual and Public Preferences of Russia and the path of Russia’s Development]. Svobodnaya mysl’ — XXI, 2003,

no 9, pp. 5–16.

7. “Ochen’ tyazhelaya istoriya”. TsB nazval summu zablokirovannykh za rubezhom aktivov rossiyskikh investorov [“A Very Difficult Story.” The Central Bank Announced the Amount of Russian Investors’ Assets Blocked Abroad]. Banki.ru, 2023, 31 yanvarya, available at: https://www.banki.ru/news/lenta/?id=

10979472&ysclid=lpnz7p8eb5916326358

8. Plenarnoe zasedanie Peterburgskogo mezhdunarodnogo ekonomicheskogo foruma: Vladimir Putin prinyal uchastie v plenarnom zasedanii XXVI Peterburgskogo mezhdunarodnogo ekonomicheskogo foruma [Plenary Session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum: Vladimir Putin Took Part

On changes in promising trends in the ratio of annual increases in global GDP and global demand for oil and energy

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.113.2023.76-88

Forecasts are given for 2023–2028 global demand for oil and energy, as well as real GDP growth by region of the world. The linear regression models developed by the authors and graphs of the relationship between the annual growth rate of global GDP and the annual growth rate of global oil and energy demand are presented.

According to the authors, the fight against inflation by the US Federal Reserve and the Central Bank of Europe through raising interest rates leads to a decrease in investment and a decrease in the growth rate of GDP in the US and Europe.

References: 

1. «Prospects for the development of the world economy».  World Bank report dated June 05,2023. URL:  https://www.vsemirnyjbank.org/ru/publication/global- economic-prospects

2. The Central Bank kept the key rate at 7,5%

for the fifth time in a row. KOMMERSANT dated04/28/2023. URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5955429

3. The economy is reaching a plateau. GDP monitoring. KOMMERSANT dated 08/04/2023.

URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6138316

4. EDB macro forecast 2023–2025: economic growth forecast has been improved for all countries in the region. URL: https://eabr.org/press/releases/makroprognoz-eabr-2023–2025-prognozekonomicheskogo-rosta- uluchshen-dlya-vsekhstran-regiona/

5. IEA «Oil 2023 Analysis and forecast to 2028». June 2023. URL: https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-2023

6. IEA «World Energy Outlook 2022». URL:

https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/830fe099–5530–48f2-a7c1–11f35d510983/WorldEnergyOutlook2022.pdf

The underwriting method as a tool for analyzing the demand for services (on the example of the Republic of Tatarstan)

DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.106.2022.100-104

The scientific article presents the trends in the development of services based on the applications of popular search queries of potential consumers, which allow analyzing the demand for trends in goods (services) using the example of the Republic of Tatarstan.

References:

1. Novikov A.V., Slabskaya D.N. Underwriting: international practice // Questions of Russian international law. 2021;11(2A):40-46. (In Russ.).

2. Shinkevich M.V. Specifics of the study of the competitive advantages of the service sector market at the mesoeconomic level: theory and practice. / M.V. Shinkevich, I.V. Zhukovskaya // Microeconomics. 2019;2:38-43. (In Russ.).

3. Klishina Yu.E., Uglitskikh O.N., Volodina A.V. The use of underwriting technology in insurance // Innovative economy: prospects for development and improvement. 2021;5(55):74-78. (In Russ.).

4. Zhukovskaya I.V. Segmentation of the service market: problems, solutions // Microeconomics. 2021;2:32-37. (In Russ.).

5. Ragimkhanov A.V. Systematization of scientific approaches to the study of the competitiveness of services: from theory to practice. / A.V. Ragimkhanov, I.V. Zhukovskaya // Microeconomics. 2022;1:75-78. (In Russ.).

6. Rostourism website // https://tourism.gov.ru/

2021: Stagflation or Technological Sovereignty — No Other Choice!

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.182.2022.86-91

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for 2021 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out

Источники:

1. Informatsiya o sotsial’no-ekonomicheskom polozhenii Rossii v yanvare 2022 g.: Doklad [Information on the Socio-Economic Situation in Russia in January 2022: Report]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-01-2022.pdf.

2. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe polozhenie Rossii v yanvare — dekabre 2021 g. [Socio-Economic Situation in Russia in January — December 2021]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at:  https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-12-2021.pdf.

3. Informatsiya o soveshchanii u Prezidenta RF o merakh sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoi podderzhki sub”ektov Rossiiskoi Federatsii 15 marta 2022 g. v rezhime videokonferentsii [Information About the Meeting with the President of the Russian Federation on Measures of Socio-Economic Support for the Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation on March 15, 2022 Via Videoconference]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67996.

4. Frenkel’ A.A., Tikhomirov B.I., Surkov A.A. 2021: itogi devyati mesyatsev — upushchennye vozmozhnosti uskoreniya sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya [2021: the Results of Nine Months — Lost Opportunities Accelerating Socio-Economic Development]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 6, pp. 76–81,

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.76-81.

5. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 8 noyabrya 2021 g. N 633 “Ob utverzhdenii Osnov gosudarstvennoi politiki v sfere strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of November 8, 2021 No. 633 “On Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/acts/bank/47244.

6. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 6 oktyabrya 2021 g. N 2816-r “Ob utverzhdenii perechnya initsiativ sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF do 2030 goda” [Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of October 6, 2021 No. 2816-r “On Approval of the Initiatives List for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation Until 2030”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://government.ru/news/43451/

2021: the Results of Nine Months — Lost Opportunities Accelerating Socio-Economic Development

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.76-81

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for nine months of 2021 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Источники:

1. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe polozhenie Rossii v yanvare — sentyabre 2021 goda: Doklad [Socio-Economic Situation in Russia in January – September 2021: Report]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-09-2021.pdf.

2. Statistika vneshnego sektora. Vneshnyaya torgovlya RF [External Sector Statistics. Foreign Trade of the Russian Federation]. Tsentral’nyi Bank RF, available at: https://cbr.ru/statistics/macro_itm/svs/

3. Informatsiya o zasedanii Soveta bezopasnosti Rossiiskoi Federatsii po voprosam sovershenstvovaniya sistemy strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii 27 sentyabrya 2021 g. [Information on the Meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation on Improving the Strategic Planning System in the Russian Federation on September 27, 2021]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66777.

4. Frenkel’ A.A., Tikhomirov B.I., Sergienko Ya.V., Surkov A.A. 2021: paradoksy yanvarya — maya [2021: Paradoxes of January — May]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 4, pp. 54–59, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.178.2021.54-59.

Market research of the meso-economic level paid services in the context of economic instability

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.101.2021.78-82

The scientific article reveals the characteristic features and features of the competitive market of paid services at the meso-economic level on the example of the Republic of Tatarstan. The analysis of the paid services market in the context of financial and economic indicators during the active phase of the pandemic and the instability of the economy is carried out. The study of the presented data was conducted on the basis of a survey of respondents of small and medium-sized businesses in the paid services market.

2021: Paradoxes of January — May

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.178.2021.54-59

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for five months of 2021 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out

2020 is a Disastrous Year, but Not Hopeless: Lessons from the Pandemic

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.176.2021.98-103

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategies” (CIES) for 2020 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out

Results of Nine Months 2020: Economy in Waves of Coronavirus

DOI: 10.33917/es-8.174.2020.86-91

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for nine months of 2020 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out

Milestone Half Year: Is Sustainable Growth Beginning Economy in 2020?

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.172.2020.32-37

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the first half of 2020 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.