Comparative analysis of foreign qualitative models for forecasting crisis situations and bankruptcy probability. Part 1

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.70-81

The article provides a comparative analysis of foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting, in particular the models of W. Beaver and D. Duran, with the aim of assessing their applicability to Russian innovative companies. The strengths and weaknesses of the models are considered, as well as the features of their use in the context of Russian reporting under Russian accounting standards (RAS standards). The study presents the results of calculations of financial ratios for 22 Russian mobile operators and telecommunications services (hereinafter referred to as Russian innovative companies) and their comparison with the real financial situation. To assess the accuracy of predictions, the F1 measure was used, the results of which revealed a significant number of inaccuracies in bankruptcy forecasting. Based on the data obtained, the issue of adapting foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting to Russian economic realities and taking into account the industry specifics of Russian innovative companies in their research is considered.

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The Role of the Curator in the Professional Self-Determination of First-Year Students of the University in the Humanitarian Areas of Training

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.177.2021.130-133

The article reveals the role of university curators in the professional self-determination of first-year students in humanitarian areas of training. The concept of “professional self-determination” is being clarified. Possible directions of professional orientation work with students are indicated. The relevance of the topic of obtaining a humanitarian education in society is substantiated, the reasons for the emergence in society of the need for professions of a social and humanitarian orientation are indicated. The works of research scientists studying the areas of professional self-determination are analyzed. The dynamics of personal changes that occur with firstyear students as a result of their professional orientation are analyzed. The meaning and tasks of curatorial work are presented, as well as problems that university curators may face today: possible mistakes of the curator in working with first-year students, namely lack of experience, lack of conscientiousness, incompetence. The main directions of the curator’s work with first-year students are revealed. The directions of activity of the university curators in conjunction with the psychological and pedagogical service are proposed. The conditions for the successful implementation of the curator’s activities with students in the direction of professional self-determination, such as planning, organization, control, motivation, are noted.