The paper analyzes the crowdsourcing possibilities in predicting the future and developing solutions. The author distinguishes types of crowdsourcing, discusses its psychological characteristics in comparison with the other methods of knowledge management. He discusses cognitive and motivational mechanisms limiting the effectiveness of crowdsourcing as a form of collective intelligence.

The article examines the interrelation between two leadership competencies — leadership vision of the future and the ability to jointly analyze risks and opportunities. On the basis of empirical research materials the paper considers Russian leaders’ conception of leadership vision, personality and group factors of leadership vision, causes of lack of attention from Russian management teams to long-term risks and opportunities.

The author believes that recognition of cognitive functions of social network does not deny the existence of an individual intelligence and does not replace it with a collective one. The article dwells on the definition of intelligence as the ability to be able, which develops throughout the whole life, and it concludes that in the network society development of such capabilities more and more depends on involvement in networking.