DOI: 10.33917/es-1.175.2021.22-29

The contemporary world is characterized with slowdown of key processes of global institutional development at the background of instrumental capabilities for geo-economic competition that could now include the methods of political and economic pressure upon competitors. Such a state of affairs could be called «a pre-chaos» that means the backpedaling major developments in the global geoeconomics (including the investment ones) as well as the political one while waiting for the massive turbulence that could include application of force. The USA are interested in maximum prolongation of the pre-chaos state in order to buy time to consolidate the elite and stabilize the society socially. But the prolonged existence of world economy within the frame of pre-chaos model that among other things results in avoiding the longer-term economic decisions including investment-related ones, only increases the destructive potential of future crisis with the destruction of the vital elements of the system of global economic interdependence

DOI: 10.33917/es-7.165.2019.46-56

Modern global economic and political transformations that result on the one hand in the relative weakening of the American global influence in the world and on the other hand in formation regionalized centers of the economic growth and influence create the risks of intensification of the regional contradictions and conflicts that affect the interests of the key economic players. Potential emergence of the “arch of instability” in the southern part of the Eurasian continent that can be used by the US to accommodate its interests with providing the base for non-force and/or partially force-based instruments of control of the global and sub-global economic processes. The emergence of such an arch could alter significantly the configuration of the political and geopolitical interests in the priority regions with the most intense trends for the global economic growth thus creating new military-political and political risks. The formation of the “arch of instability” could create new risks for the interests of Russia and its partners in the post-Soviet Eurasia