Author page: Alferov V.N.

Comparative analysis of foreign qualitative models for forecasting crisis situations and bankruptcy probability. Part 1

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.70-81

The article provides a comparative analysis of foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting, in particular the models of W. Beaver and D. Duran, with the aim of assessing their applicability to Russian innovative companies. The strengths and weaknesses of the models are considered, as well as the features of their use in the context of Russian reporting under Russian accounting standards (RAS standards). The study presents the results of calculations of financial ratios for 22 Russian mobile operators and telecommunications services (hereinafter referred to as Russian innovative companies) and their comparison with the real financial situation. To assess the accuracy of predictions, the F1 measure was used, the results of which revealed a significant number of inaccuracies in bankruptcy forecasting. Based on the data obtained, the issue of adapting foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting to Russian economic realities and taking into account the industry specifics of Russian innovative companies in their research is considered.

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The impact of government support measures on the innovative activity of companies in the Russian Federation

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.115.2024.5-22

The scientific article presents the advanced experience of leading foreign countries to activate innovation. It was established that mainly organizations for the development of innovation use direct and indirect support measures. The principles of activation and support of innovative activities in foreign countries are shown, the main tools for state stimulation and activation of innovation in foreign countries have been identified.

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2. «The main directions of the policy of the Russian Federation in the field of development of the innovation system for the period until 2010» (approved by the Government of the Russian Federation on 05.08.2005 No. 2473p-P7). URL: www.consultant.ru

3. Strategy for the development of science and innovation in the Russian Federation for the period until 2015 (approved by the Interdepartmental Commission on Scientific and Innovation Policy (protocol dated February 15, 2006 No. 1). URL: www.consultant.ru

4. Order of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 4, 2023 No. 1789-r «On approval of a comprehensive scientific and technical program of a full innovation cycle “New composite materials: design and production technologies”». URL: www.consultant.ru

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